Blink and you miss it: AMD's keynote address this year was a whirlwind of primetime announcements for the company. The message is clear: AMD is committing itself to 7nm as the future process node that will drive the company's innovations starting in 2019. The first consumer products on 7nm will be the Ryzen 3rd Generation Desktop processors, using Zen 2 cores, offering more than competitive performance against Intel's best hardware. Also on the docket is a return to high-end graphics performance, with AMD set to release a 7nm graphics card that can spar blow-for-blow with the competition at the $700 price barrier.

AMD at CES 2019

One of the odd things about AMD’s announcements this show has been the tale of two halves. Normally a company will push out single major press release with everything in it. This year AMD discussed its news around Ryzen-3000 series mobile parts and AMD Chromebooks just as the show started, and we were all confused if this was going to constitute what was in the keynote or not – it would seem odd, after all, for the company to pre-announce its keynote announcements. Luckily, AMD has plenty to announce, and it’s all pretty juicy.

First up, CPUs. AMD presented its next generation 7nm desktop CPU, which is the 3rd Generation Ryzen.

Attacking the Mainstream CPU Market: Toe to Toe with Core i9-9900K

Ignore everything you might have heard about what AMD’s future desktop CPU is going to be. Here are most of the details you need to know.

The new parts, codenamed Matisse, will be coming to market in mid-2019 (sometime in Q2 or Q3). The processor the company had on display was made from two pieces of silicon on the package: one eight-core 7nm chiplet made at TSMC, and a 14nm input/output chiplet with the dual memory controllers and the PCIe lanes, made at GlobalFoundries.

The company did state that it is the world’s first 7nm gaming CPU, and will also be the world’s first mainstream CPU to support PCIe 4.0 x16. At this time the company is not commenting on if the 3rd Gen is going to have a maximum of eight cores, or if this represents the best processor of the whole family.

Because the processor is still far away from launch, frequencies are not being finalized yet. However, the processor is for the AM4 socket, given that AMD has previously said that it intends to keep backwards compatibility for several generations. That will mean that this CPU will work in current 300 and 400-series AMD motherboards.

What this means for PCIe 4.0 is actually fairly simple. We expect there to be a new line of motherboards presumably something like X570 that will be PCIe 4.0 compatible, for any new PCIe 4.0 graphics cards that will be coming to market. One of the differences with PCIe 4.0 is that it can only handle PCB traces up to 7 inches before needing a redriver/retimer, so these extra ICs are needed for ports lower down the board. But, the first PCIe slot on most motherboards is in that limit, so it would appear that a lot of current 300 and 400 series motherboards, assuming the traces adhere to signal integrity specifications, could have their first PCIe slot rated at PCIe 4.0 with new firmware.

Going For Die Size

As we can see on the die shot above, the 8-core chiplet is smaller than the IO-die, similar to the 8+1 chiplet design on EPYC. The IO-die is not exactly one quarter of the EPYC IO-die, as I predicted might be the case back the Rome server processor announcement launch, but it is actually somewhere between one quarter and one half.

Doing some measurements on our imagery of the processor, and knowing that an AM4 processor is 40mm square, we measure the chiplet to be 10.53 x 7.67 mm = 80.80 mm2, whereas the IO die is 13.16mm x 9.32 mm = 122.63 mm2.

+15% Performance Generation on Generation, Minimum.

During the keynote, AMD showed some performance numbers using the new Ryzen 3rd Generation (Matisse) processor. The test in question was Cinebench R15.

Our internal numbers show the 2nd Generation Ryzen 7 2700X scores 1754.

This new 3rd Generation Ryzen processor scored 2023.

This would mean that at current non-final clocks, the new parts give a 15.3% increase in performance generation on generation. Cinebench is an idealized situation for AMD, but this is not at final clocks either. It will depend on the workload, but this is an interesting data point to have.

Identical Performance to the Core i9-9900K, Minimum.

Our internal benchmarks show the 9900K with a score of 2032.

The 8-core AMD processor scored 2023, and the Intel Core i9-9900K scored 2042.  

Both systems were running on strong air cooling, and we were told that the Core i9-9900K was allowed to run at its standard frequencies on an ASUS motherboard. The AMD chip, by contrast, was not running at final clocks. AMD said that both systems had identical power supplies, DRAM, SSDs, operating systems, patches, and both with a Vega 64 graphics card.

At Just Over Half The Power…?!

Also, in that same test, it showed the system level power. This includes the motherboard, DRAM, SSD, and so on. As the systems were supposedly identical, this makes the comparison CPU only. The Intel system, during Cinebench, ran at 180W. This result is in line with what we’ve seen on our systems, and sounds correct. The AMD system on the other hand was running at 130-132W.

If we take a look at our average system idle power in our own reviews which is around 55W, this would make the Intel CPU around 125W, whereas the AMD CPU would be around 75W.

AMD Benchmarks at CES 2019
AnandTech System Power Idle Power* Chip Power CB 15 MT Score
(pre-brief)
CB 15 MT Score
(on-stage)
All-Core Frequency
AMD Zen 2 130W 55W 75W 2023 2057 ?
Intel i9-9900K 180W 55W 125W 2042 2040 4.7 GHz
*A rough estimate given our previous review testing

This suggests that AMD’s new processors with the same amount of cores are offering performance parity in select benchmarks to Intel’s highest performing mainstream processor, while consuming a lot less power. Almost half as much power.

That is a powerful statement. (ed: pun not intended)

How has AMD done this? IPC or Frequency?

We know a few things about the new Zen 2 microarchitecture. We know it has an improved branch predictor unit, and improved prefetcher, better micro-op cache management, a larger micro-op cache, increased dispatch bandwidth, increased retire bandwidth, native support for 256-bit floating point math, double size FMA units, and double size load-store units. These last three parts are key elements to an FP-heavy benchmark like Cinebench, and work a lot in AMD’s favor.

As the Intel CPU was allowed to run as standard, even on the ASUS board, it should reach around 4.7 GHz on an all-core turbo. AMD’s frequencies on the processor were unknown; but also they are not final and we ‘should expect more’. Well, if the processor was only running at 75W, and they can push it another 20-30W, then there’s going to be more frequency and more performance to be had.

The one thing we don’t know is how well TSMC’s 7nm performs with respect to voltage and frequency. The only chips that currently exist on the process are smartphone chips that are under 3 GHz. There is no comparable metric – one would assume that in order to be competitive with the Core i9-9900K, the processor would have to match the all-core frequency (4.7 GHz) if it was at the same IPC.

If the CPU can't match IPC or frequency, then three things are possible:

  1. If the TSMC process can’t go that high on frequency, then AMD is ahead of Intel on IPC, which is a massive change in the ranks of modern x86 hardware.
  2. If the TSMC process can clock above 5.0 GHz, AND there is room to spare in the power budget to go even higher, then it’s going to be really funny seeing these processors complete.
  3. AMD's Hyperthreading for software such as CineBench is out of this world.

TL;DR = AMD’s 3rd Gen Ryzen Processors Are Another Step Up

When speaking with AMD, their representative said that there will be more information to follow as we get closer to launch. They’re happy for users to discuss whether it is IPC or frequency that is making AMD the winner here, and they’ll disclose more closer to the time.

Ian, I Thought You Predicted Two Chiplets?

Naturally, I assumed that AMD would be presenting a Ryzen-3000 series desktop processor with sixteen cores. For me, and a lot of others, felt like a natural progression, but here we are today with AMD only mentioning an eight core chip.

I predicted wrong, and I've lost my money (ed: in Las Vegas no less). But if we look at the processor, there’s still room for a surprise.

There’s room for a little something extra in there. There’s not much room for a little something extra, but I’m sure if AMD wanted to, there’s just enough space for another CPU chiplet (or a GPU chiplet) on this package. The question would then be around frequency and power, which are both valid.

There's also the question of lower core count processors and the cheaper end of the market. This processor uses silicon from TSMC, made in Taiwan, and GlobalFoundries, made in New York, then packaged together. We have heard some discussion from others not in the industry that this makes cheaper processors (sub $100) less feasible. It is entirely possible that AMD might address that market with future GPU. 

What AMD has plans for in the future, I don’t know. I don’t have a crystal ball. But it does look like AMD has some room to grow in the future if they need to.

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  • HStewart - Wednesday, January 9, 2019 - link

    EDIT: Personal Bet
  • DrKlahn - Wednesday, January 9, 2019 - link

    Sunny Cove looks very promising, but I don't think we've seen working silicon. I HOPE Intel delivers on it this year, but with the execution problems plaguing them lately I'm not confident here.

    If Sunny Cove is the big improvement we're being told it is, then we should see Intel comfortably ahead. I'm not as optimistic as you are about 1 SC core = 2 Zen 2 cores in most workloads, but I could see some very big leads in many use cases. Which will almost certainly prompt AMD to answer back. And we, the consumer, are the winner :D
  • Tamz_msc - Wednesday, January 9, 2019 - link

    You expect double the IPC from a moderate architectural change?
  • KOneJ - Wednesday, January 9, 2019 - link

    Yeah, it doesn't make sense. HStewart is crazy. From SB to SKL, Intel widened the execution ports progressively. Now it'll deeper and wider with SC/IL. Should bring a few percent, but no doubling. The 2c to 1c comparison is meaningless babble due to thread scaling and programability. Whether discussing Amadahl's law (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amdahl%27s_law) or compiler optimizations, ISXs, and APIs, there is no simplification that accurately encompasses this issue. That remark sounds like a gamer talking about the weakness of BD-derivatives. I think SC should be a nice bump, but I can also see AMD deepening and widening the Zen core easily as well. Between the MCM approach, AM4 phasing out, DDR5 coming (Maybe PCIe4 being short-lived yielding to 5 sooner than expected), and how Zen was a comparatively small core from a transistor-count and die-area (Even with discrepancies between 14nmLPP versus Intel's 14nm node) perspective versus SKL derivatives, it's easy to see the Zen core become beefier. Also, Zen's core power efficiency is much better than Intel's (Not talking about uncore topologies). agner.org provides excellent historical context and perspective. See https://www.agner.org/optimize/microarchitecture.p...
  • Arbie - Friday, January 11, 2019 - link

    You're in the wrong place, Cajun. The mindlessly insulting trolling is over on WccfTech. Give that a try - and maybe never come back here.
  • looncraz - Wednesday, January 9, 2019 - link

    It was faster... and used only 2/3 the power.

    Lisa isn't like previous presenters, she usually doesn't over hype.

    A 75W 8-core CPU likely means the thing is running at pretty reasonable clocks - we just saw the IPC gains and any SMT improvements. 15~17%.

    A 5GHz 9900k hits 2150~2200, just 7% ahead... but how much more can be achieved by pushing Ryzen 3000? I'd bet it's more than 7%.

    The IO die and chiplet position also only makes sense if there will be 12 & 16 core parts.
  • DrKlahn - Wednesday, January 9, 2019 - link

    Or they may only put in an IGP there. 12/16 core only make sense if AM4 can feed that load. I'm guessing it probably can with DDR4 speeds continuing to climb, but it may be a factor and I'm sure AMD has the numbers. As far as frequency and scaling, I think you're probably right. Validation samples (especially ones used at high profile presentations) are likely to be conservatively clocked. Headroom should at least reach 4.5GHz based on what we saw with the 2xxx refresh from AMD. 5GHz is possible, but might be a stretch. We should see soon enough.
  • KOneJ - Wednesday, January 9, 2019 - link

    IDK. There's an AWFUL LOT of symmetry on that package. 2 CPU dies seems awful likely. Also see https://twitter.com/IanCutress/status/108309908688... . Also take into account TSMC's 16nmFF power-frequency behavior versus Samsung's 14nmLPP when used in GP Pascal-based dies. TSMC's 7nm may do better than people think versus 12/14nm GF processes, between which there were 300MHz. I'd personally guess that 4.5GHz is conservative when you look at that and the 2950X's boosting. And architectural choices also contribute to the frequency tolerance of a design, not only the process. Zen 2 surely took that into consideration.
  • twtech - Thursday, January 10, 2019 - link

    I would much rather see more cores than an iGPU. With a properly-written Windows scheduler, and software designed to take advantage of the hardware, it will work. Don't hold back the hardware because the software isn't there yet - the software may not get there until the hardware is available.
  • KOneJ - Thursday, January 10, 2019 - link

    Or have everyone jump to Linux. And I think the most progress happens when hardware and software move in tandem. Look at GPUs. Specialized FF units were often built-in but never implemented or utilized. A total shame and waste.

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