Blink and you miss it: AMD's keynote address this year was a whirlwind of primetime announcements for the company. The message is clear: AMD is committing itself to 7nm as the future process node that will drive the company's innovations starting in 2019. The first consumer products on 7nm will be the Ryzen 3rd Generation Desktop processors, using Zen 2 cores, offering more than competitive performance against Intel's best hardware. Also on the docket is a return to high-end graphics performance, with AMD set to release a 7nm graphics card that can spar blow-for-blow with the competition at the $700 price barrier.

AMD at CES 2019

One of the odd things about AMD’s announcements this show has been the tale of two halves. Normally a company will push out single major press release with everything in it. This year AMD discussed its news around Ryzen-3000 series mobile parts and AMD Chromebooks just as the show started, and we were all confused if this was going to constitute what was in the keynote or not – it would seem odd, after all, for the company to pre-announce its keynote announcements. Luckily, AMD has plenty to announce, and it’s all pretty juicy.

First up, CPUs. AMD presented its next generation 7nm desktop CPU, which is the 3rd Generation Ryzen.

Attacking the Mainstream CPU Market: Toe to Toe with Core i9-9900K

Ignore everything you might have heard about what AMD’s future desktop CPU is going to be. Here are most of the details you need to know.

The new parts, codenamed Matisse, will be coming to market in mid-2019 (sometime in Q2 or Q3). The processor the company had on display was made from two pieces of silicon on the package: one eight-core 7nm chiplet made at TSMC, and a 14nm input/output chiplet with the dual memory controllers and the PCIe lanes, made at GlobalFoundries.

The company did state that it is the world’s first 7nm gaming CPU, and will also be the world’s first mainstream CPU to support PCIe 4.0 x16. At this time the company is not commenting on if the 3rd Gen is going to have a maximum of eight cores, or if this represents the best processor of the whole family.

Because the processor is still far away from launch, frequencies are not being finalized yet. However, the processor is for the AM4 socket, given that AMD has previously said that it intends to keep backwards compatibility for several generations. That will mean that this CPU will work in current 300 and 400-series AMD motherboards.

What this means for PCIe 4.0 is actually fairly simple. We expect there to be a new line of motherboards presumably something like X570 that will be PCIe 4.0 compatible, for any new PCIe 4.0 graphics cards that will be coming to market. One of the differences with PCIe 4.0 is that it can only handle PCB traces up to 7 inches before needing a redriver/retimer, so these extra ICs are needed for ports lower down the board. But, the first PCIe slot on most motherboards is in that limit, so it would appear that a lot of current 300 and 400 series motherboards, assuming the traces adhere to signal integrity specifications, could have their first PCIe slot rated at PCIe 4.0 with new firmware.

Going For Die Size

As we can see on the die shot above, the 8-core chiplet is smaller than the IO-die, similar to the 8+1 chiplet design on EPYC. The IO-die is not exactly one quarter of the EPYC IO-die, as I predicted might be the case back the Rome server processor announcement launch, but it is actually somewhere between one quarter and one half.

Doing some measurements on our imagery of the processor, and knowing that an AM4 processor is 40mm square, we measure the chiplet to be 10.53 x 7.67 mm = 80.80 mm2, whereas the IO die is 13.16mm x 9.32 mm = 122.63 mm2.

+15% Performance Generation on Generation, Minimum.

During the keynote, AMD showed some performance numbers using the new Ryzen 3rd Generation (Matisse) processor. The test in question was Cinebench R15.

Our internal numbers show the 2nd Generation Ryzen 7 2700X scores 1754.

This new 3rd Generation Ryzen processor scored 2023.

This would mean that at current non-final clocks, the new parts give a 15.3% increase in performance generation on generation. Cinebench is an idealized situation for AMD, but this is not at final clocks either. It will depend on the workload, but this is an interesting data point to have.

Identical Performance to the Core i9-9900K, Minimum.

Our internal benchmarks show the 9900K with a score of 2032.

The 8-core AMD processor scored 2023, and the Intel Core i9-9900K scored 2042.  

Both systems were running on strong air cooling, and we were told that the Core i9-9900K was allowed to run at its standard frequencies on an ASUS motherboard. The AMD chip, by contrast, was not running at final clocks. AMD said that both systems had identical power supplies, DRAM, SSDs, operating systems, patches, and both with a Vega 64 graphics card.

At Just Over Half The Power…?!

Also, in that same test, it showed the system level power. This includes the motherboard, DRAM, SSD, and so on. As the systems were supposedly identical, this makes the comparison CPU only. The Intel system, during Cinebench, ran at 180W. This result is in line with what we’ve seen on our systems, and sounds correct. The AMD system on the other hand was running at 130-132W.

If we take a look at our average system idle power in our own reviews which is around 55W, this would make the Intel CPU around 125W, whereas the AMD CPU would be around 75W.

AMD Benchmarks at CES 2019
AnandTech System Power Idle Power* Chip Power CB 15 MT Score
(pre-brief)
CB 15 MT Score
(on-stage)
All-Core Frequency
AMD Zen 2 130W 55W 75W 2023 2057 ?
Intel i9-9900K 180W 55W 125W 2042 2040 4.7 GHz
*A rough estimate given our previous review testing

This suggests that AMD’s new processors with the same amount of cores are offering performance parity in select benchmarks to Intel’s highest performing mainstream processor, while consuming a lot less power. Almost half as much power.

That is a powerful statement. (ed: pun not intended)

How has AMD done this? IPC or Frequency?

We know a few things about the new Zen 2 microarchitecture. We know it has an improved branch predictor unit, and improved prefetcher, better micro-op cache management, a larger micro-op cache, increased dispatch bandwidth, increased retire bandwidth, native support for 256-bit floating point math, double size FMA units, and double size load-store units. These last three parts are key elements to an FP-heavy benchmark like Cinebench, and work a lot in AMD’s favor.

As the Intel CPU was allowed to run as standard, even on the ASUS board, it should reach around 4.7 GHz on an all-core turbo. AMD’s frequencies on the processor were unknown; but also they are not final and we ‘should expect more’. Well, if the processor was only running at 75W, and they can push it another 20-30W, then there’s going to be more frequency and more performance to be had.

The one thing we don’t know is how well TSMC’s 7nm performs with respect to voltage and frequency. The only chips that currently exist on the process are smartphone chips that are under 3 GHz. There is no comparable metric – one would assume that in order to be competitive with the Core i9-9900K, the processor would have to match the all-core frequency (4.7 GHz) if it was at the same IPC.

If the CPU can't match IPC or frequency, then three things are possible:

  1. If the TSMC process can’t go that high on frequency, then AMD is ahead of Intel on IPC, which is a massive change in the ranks of modern x86 hardware.
  2. If the TSMC process can clock above 5.0 GHz, AND there is room to spare in the power budget to go even higher, then it’s going to be really funny seeing these processors complete.
  3. AMD's Hyperthreading for software such as CineBench is out of this world.

TL;DR = AMD’s 3rd Gen Ryzen Processors Are Another Step Up

When speaking with AMD, their representative said that there will be more information to follow as we get closer to launch. They’re happy for users to discuss whether it is IPC or frequency that is making AMD the winner here, and they’ll disclose more closer to the time.

Ian, I Thought You Predicted Two Chiplets?

Naturally, I assumed that AMD would be presenting a Ryzen-3000 series desktop processor with sixteen cores. For me, and a lot of others, felt like a natural progression, but here we are today with AMD only mentioning an eight core chip.

I predicted wrong, and I've lost my money (ed: in Las Vegas no less). But if we look at the processor, there’s still room for a surprise.

There’s room for a little something extra in there. There’s not much room for a little something extra, but I’m sure if AMD wanted to, there’s just enough space for another CPU chiplet (or a GPU chiplet) on this package. The question would then be around frequency and power, which are both valid.

There's also the question of lower core count processors and the cheaper end of the market. This processor uses silicon from TSMC, made in Taiwan, and GlobalFoundries, made in New York, then packaged together. We have heard some discussion from others not in the industry that this makes cheaper processors (sub $100) less feasible. It is entirely possible that AMD might address that market with future GPU. 

What AMD has plans for in the future, I don’t know. I don’t have a crystal ball. But it does look like AMD has some room to grow in the future if they need to.

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  • hetzbh - Wednesday, January 9, 2019 - link

    You might need to edit your post. The video shows (1:28:53) that the Ryzen Cinebench score was *2057* on the Ryzen, and 2040 on the Intel side.
  • Ian Cutress - Thursday, January 10, 2019 - link

    We had a pre-briefing and the scores I published were the ones we saw during that prebriefing.
  • Dragonrider - Wednesday, January 9, 2019 - link

    Of course there will be a 16 core. The layout is there. The power profile is there. This is a teaser-- "See, we can match a 9900k with only half a processor". Two possible reasons for not showing the full 16 core layout. 1. It's not ready. 2. It really isn't twice as fast by quite a bit due to memory bandwidth limitations with only two channels. Clearly a 16 core Treadripper will outperform. The sweet spot with this layout may be two cut back chiplets in a 12 core configuration (i.e. more cache BW per core and just about the limit of two channels usefulness). Also, depending on the actual release date, they could go for DDR5 compatibility along with pcie 4.
  • Mikewind Dale - Wednesday, January 9, 2019 - link

    Or with the separate IO chiplet, I wonder if the plan is to later support DDR5 by simply replacing the IO chiplet with a different one?
  • Kevin G - Wednesday, January 9, 2019 - link

    Both yes and no.

    AMD's cadence would imply the Zen 3 is coming next year. If DDR5 is ready for mass production which we will likely see is both Zen 3 chiplets with this IO die for AM4 and a new IO die + Zen 3 chiplets for a new AM5 socket.

    The more interesting question is if this same IO die will be used to put a Navi GPU into the same package alongside some HBM.
  • KOneJ - Wednesday, January 9, 2019 - link

    I'd say DDR5 is more slated for Zen 4 because of challenges in maintaining backwards-compatibility on AM4. Maybe shrinking and shifting the I/O die would allow for on-package HBM... I haven't checked the DDR5 standards, and while I remember both DDR2/3 support on Phenoms back in the day in a very pro-consumer move by AMD, I don't see it happening this go around.
  • Kevin G - Wednesday, January 9, 2019 - link

    DDR5 support would just mean a socket change to the hypothetical AM5 socket and require a new IO die. The CPU chiplets wouldn't inherently have to change though, hence why Zen 3 in 2020 could easily bridge both memory types as there would be two different sockets/IO dies they would connect to.

    The development between IO and CPU chiplets is now disjointed and can proceed and their own individual paces based upon market demand. For this same reason, I strongly suspect the Zen 3 chiplets due next year will leverage the exact same IO die we are seeing used today.
  • KOneJ - Thursday, January 10, 2019 - link

    Mark Papermaster suggested Zen 3 would bring opportunistic efficiency gains, indicating otherwise, Also, AM4 is a promised 4-year platform: 2017(1), 2018(2), 2019(3), 2020(4). They could have two overlapping sockets, but the product confusion for consumers and the high initial cost of new RAM types would probably outweigh the benefits. Recall how much DDR3/DDR4 cost when they were first brought to market.
  • Kevin G - Thursday, January 10, 2019 - link

    Zen 3 would be a 2020 part so they'd still be honoring their commit to AM4 without issue.

    You forget that AMD did pull off two sockets simultaneously before in the past: AM2+ and AM3. The first Phenom AM3 chips would work fine in AM2+ sockets.

    Considering AMD's current chiplet strategy and past history, I don't see much of an issue for them to introduce AM5 at the tail end of 2020 with Zen 3 and upgrade it to Zen 4 in 2021. If DDR5 prices remain prohibitally expensive through 2021, they could again do a simultaneous release of Zen4 on socket AM4 and AM5 (though I don't consider this likely). Moving to AM5 would also permit AMD to resize the socket if they wanted to so they could include more and/or larger dies. Increased core count or features is an easy means of differentiating AM4 and AM5 products.
  • KOneJ - Thursday, January 10, 2019 - link

    I did not forget that. I mentioned the backwards compatibility with DDR2/3 here: https://www.anandtech.com/comments/13829/amd-ryzen... . Given some context with SP3 server cadence, socket pin count utilization, DDR5 and PCIe5 generational timing, development of their "next-gen" GPU post-Navi, HBM3 and LCHBM, as well as Gen-Z, OpenCAPI, and TSMC's 7nm EUV HVM, a hard split between AM4/5 between Zen4/5 makes way too much sense with timing. Intel's Aurora delivery shows a focus on parallel data HPC that goes with their dGPU push in 2020/2021 and Mark Papermaster in an interview relayed with Ian Cutress:
    "IC: ...Can you make the same commitment with Zen 4 that was shown on the roadmap slides?
    MP: We’re certainly committed to that socket continuity through Milan, and we haven’t commented beyond that. Obviously at some point the industry transitions to PCIe 5.0 and DDR5 which will necessitate a socket change.
    IC: So one might assume that an intercept might occur with Zen 4?
    MP: No comment (!)".
    Interview @ https://www.anandtech.com/show/13578/naples-rome-m...
    He also told EETimes that Zen 3 CPUs would offer only “primarily leverage efficiency with some modest device performance opportunities”
    Papermaster’s sentiment hints at an approach with Zen 3 that’s not all that dissimilar to Zen+, especially when taken with how James prior said "It’s not an area statement, it’s a power efficiency statement,” with regards to the move to 12nm with Ryzen.
    EETimes Reference @ https://www.eetimes.com/document.asp?doc_id=133399...
    Also: https://www.pcgamesn.com/amd-zen-3-7nm-cpu-archite...
    All evidence would seem to indicate that your expectations for the AM4/5 transition are misplaced.

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