The graph below is one of transistor count, not die size. Inevitably, on the same manufacturing process, a significantly higher transistor count translates into a larger die size. But for the purposes of this article, all I need to show you is a representation of transistor count.

See that big circle on the right? That's Fermi. NVIDIA's next-generation architecture.

NVIDIA astonished us with GT200 tipping the scales at 1.4 billion transistors. Fermi is more than twice that at 3 billion. And literally, that's what Fermi is - more than twice a GT200.

At the high level the specs are simple. Fermi has a 384-bit GDDR5 memory interface and 512 cores. That's more than twice the processing power of GT200 but, just like RV870 (Cypress), it's not twice the memory bandwidth.

The architecture goes much further than that, but NVIDIA believes that AMD has shown its cards (literally) and is very confident that Fermi will be faster. The questions are at what price and when.

The price is a valid concern. Fermi is a 40nm GPU just like RV870 but it has a 40% higher transistor count. Both are built at TSMC, so you can expect that Fermi will cost NVIDIA more to make than ATI's Radeon HD 5870.

Then timing is just as valid, because while Fermi currently exists on paper, it's not a product yet. Fermi is late. Clock speeds, configurations and price points have yet to be finalized. NVIDIA just recently got working chips back and it's going to be at least two months before I see the first samples. Widespread availability won't be until at least Q1 2010.

I asked two people at NVIDIA why Fermi is late; NVIDIA's VP of Product Marketing, Ujesh Desai and NVIDIA's VP of GPU Engineering, Jonah Alben. Ujesh responded: because designing GPUs this big is "fucking hard".

Jonah elaborated, as I will attempt to do here today.

A Different Sort of Launch
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  • SiliconDoc - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    Sweet ! Nice pick, looks like carbon fiber at the bracket end.

    Wowzie, a real honker based on THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS of tech and core per part.

    I feel SO PRIVLEDGED to have a chance at the gaming segment version, all that massive power jammed into a gaming card !

    Whoo! U P S C A L E !
  • justaviking - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    Look at every bright area of high contrast. All the spotlight reflections have a red ring around them. So the thumb, in front of the highly reflective gold connectors, also has the same halo effect. I think that it's as much evidence of a digital camera as it is Photoshop manipulation.

    With that said, it could also be a non-functional mock-up. Holding a mock-up or prototype in your hand is not the same as benchmarking a production (ready for consumer release) product.
  • papapapapapapapababy - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    look at that irregular borders closely. ( above the watch) also, the shadows (finger) are off. thats a (terrible) shop.
  • v1001 - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    All they did was blacken out the background more. Probably was more noise and distraction going on that they didn't want in there.
  • justaviking - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    OK, so assuming it's a fake (and I'm not saying it isn't), I have three questions:

    1) Where did you get the photo?
    2) Why do it? (And "Who did it?", but that's closely related to Q1.
    3) Where did they get the photo of the hardware, which they then put into the person's hand?

    Combining #2 and #3) If the card is from a real photo of real hardware, then what was the value of photoshopping it into someone's hand?

    I'm not trying to argue, just trying to understand.
  • papapapapapapapababy - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    more fakes! source: bit-tech ( this one is even "better")

    http://i34.tinypic.com/34inz9j.jpg">http://i34.tinypic.com/34inz9j.jpg


    also, not mine ( from xnews)

    http://img28.imageshack.us/img28/2883/tesafilm.png">http://img28.imageshack.us/img28/2883/tesafilm.png
  • papapapapapapapababy - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    also below the card... whats that sloppy withe trim in the middle of a shadow? JAaAAA
  • UNCjigga - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    Seriously? I have a 1080p monitor and Radeon 4670 with UVD2, but my PS3 with 1080p output to the same monitor looks MUCH better at upscaling DVDs (night and day difference.) PowerDVD does have a better upscaling tech, but that's using software decoding. Can somebody port ffdshow/libmpeg2 for CUDA and ATI Stream (or DirectCompute?) kthxbye
  • Pastuch - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    I buy two videocards per year on average. I've owned an almost equal number of ATI/Nvidia cards. I loved my geforce 8800 GTX despite it costing a fortune but since then it's been ALL down hill. I've had driver issues with home theater PCs and Nvidia drivers. I've been totally disappointed with Nvidias performance with high def audio formats. The fact that the entire ATI 48xx line can do 7.1 audio pass-through while only a handful of Nvidia videocards can even do 5.1 audio passthrough is just sad. The world is moving to hometheater gaming PCs and Nvidia is dragging arse.

    The fact that 5850 can do bitstreaming audio for $250 RIGHT NOW and is the second fastest 1 GPU solution for gaming makes it one hell of a product in my eyes. You no longer nead an Asus Xonar or Auzentech soundcard saving me $200. Hell with the money I saved I could almost buy a SECOND 5850! Lets see if the new Nvidia cards can do bitstreaming... if they can't then Nvidia won't be getting any more of my money.

    P.S. Thanks Anand for inspiring me to build the hometheater of my dreams. Gaming on a 110 Inch screen is the future!
  • SiliconDoc - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    Well that's very nice, and since this has been declared the home of "only game fps and bang for that buck" matters, and therefore PhysX, ambient occlusion, CUDA, and other nvidia advantages, and your "outlier" htpc desires are WORTHLESS according to the home crowd, I guess they can't respond without contradiciting themselves, so I will considering I have always supported added value, and have been attacked for it.
    --
    Yes, throw out your $200 sound cards, or sell them, and plop that heat monster into the tiny unit, good luck. Better spend some on after market cooling, or the raging videocard fan sound will probably drive you crazy. So another $100 there.
    Now the $100 you got for the used soundcard is gone.
    I also wonder what sound chip you're going to use then when you aren't playing a movie or whatever, I suppose you'll use your motherboard sound chip, which might be a lousy one, and definitely is lousier than the Auzentech you just sold or tossed.
    So how exactly does "passthrough" save you a dime ?
    If you're going to try to copy Anand's basement theatre projection, I have to wonder why you wouldn't use the digital or optical output of the high end soundcard... or your motherboards, if indeed it has a decent soundchip on it, which isn't exactly likely.
    -
    Maybe we'll all get luckier,and with TESLA like massive computing power, we'll get an NVIDIA blueray dvd movie player converter that runs on the holy grail of the PhysX haters, openCL and or direct compute, and you'll have to do with the better sound of your add on sound cards, anyway, instead of using a videocard as a transit device.
    I can't imagine "cable mamnagement" as an excuse either, with a 110" curved screen home built threate room...
    ---
    Feel free to educate me.

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