AMD Conference Call CFO Prepared Remarks

Following Dr. Su, AMD's CFO, Devinder Kumar, also had prepared remarks:

2019 was an outstanding year for AMD. Our competitive product portfolio and market share gains drove the highest annual and highest quarterly revenue in AMD history. We achieved our highest annual gross margin percentage and annual free cash flow since 2011. We improved non-GAAP earnings per share by 39% year-on-year. In short, we are very pleased with our financial performance.

Fourth quarter revenue was $2.13 billion up 50% from a year ago, and up 18% from the prior quarter driven by strong sales of Ryzen and EPYC processors, and Radeon on GPUs, partially offset by softer semi-custom sales. Gross Margin was 45%, up 360 basis points from a year ago, driven primarily by sales of our leadership 7nm  products. Operating Expenses were $545 million, with increased investments in go-to-market activities and R&D, compared to $474 million a year ago. Operating Income was $405 million, up $296 million from a year ago, driven by revenue growth and higher gross margin. Operating margin was 19% as compared to 8% a year ago. That income was $383 million, up $296 million from a year ago. Diluted earnings per share were 32 cents per share, compared to eight cents per share a year ago.

Business Segment Results

The Computing and Graphics segment revenue was $1.66 billion, up 69% year over year, driven by Ryzen processor and Radeon gaming GPU sales growth. The Computing and Graphics segment operating income was $360 million or 22% of revenue, compared to $115 million a year ago, driven by higher revenue.

Enterprise Embedded and Semi-Custom (EESC) segment revenue was $465 million, up 7% from $433 million the prior year. The continued growth of EPYC processes was partially offset by softer semi-custom revenue. EPYC processor revenue grew by a strong double digit percentage sequentially driven by robust shipments of our second generation EPYC processors. EESC segment operating income was $45 million, or 10% of revenue, driven by EPYC process sales, compared to an operating loss of $6 million a year ago.

During the quarter, we reduced gross debt by $524 million, which resulted in a GAAP loss of $128 million. These debt reductions result in an annualized interest expense saving of approximately $16 million. Free cash flow was positive $400 million in the fourth quarter, and cash flow from operation was $442 million. Inventory was $1 billion down 6% from the prior quarter. Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA was $469 million compared to $152 million a year ago, driven by higher quarterly earnings.

Full Year Results

2019 revenue was $6.73 billion, up 4% YoY driven by strong growth in Computing and Graphics segment and sales of second generation EPYC processors, partially offset by a decline in semi-custom sales. Excluding semi-custom, revenue was up more than 20% year over year. Gross Margin of 43% was up 420 basis points from the prior year, driven by our current generation of Ryzen and EPYC products. Operating expenses were 31% of revenue, as we increase go-to-market activities and investments in R&D. 2019 operating income was up 33% from a year ago to $840 million, or 12% of revenue. Net income was $756 million, up 47% from the prior year.

Turning to the balance sheet, I'm extremely pleased with our progress on the strengthening balance sheet. Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities total $1.5 billion at year end, while gross debt was $563 million. This represents our highest net cash position since the third quarter of 2006. Full year free cash flow was $276 million. We reduced principal debt by almost $1 billion in 2019, and ended the year with less than $600 million of gross debt. On a trailing 12 month basis, adjusted EBITDA was $1.1 billion, resulting in gross leverage of 0.5x, down from 1.9x at the end of 2018.

Outlook for 1Q 2020

We expect revenue to be approximately $1.8 billion, plus or minus $50 million, an increase of approximately 42% year over year, and a decrease of approximately 15% sequentially. The year over year increase expected to be driven by strong growth in Ryzen, EPYC, and Radeon product sales. The sequential decrease is driven primarily by negligible semi-custom revenue, which continues to soften in advance of the ramp of next generation products, in addition to seasonality.

In addition, for Q1 2020, we expect non-GAAP gross margin to be approximately 46%. [We expect] Non-GAAP operating expenses to be approximately $580 million, non-GAAP interest, expense, taxes, and other to be approximately $18 million, and the first quarter diluted share count is expected to be approximately 1.22 billion shares.

Outlook for FY2020

For the full year 2020, we expect revenue growth of approximately 28 to 30%, driven by strength across all businesses. We expect non-GAAP gross margin, to be approximately 45%, non-GAAP operating expenses to be approximately 28% of revenue, and a non-GAAP tax rate of approximately 3% of pre-tax income.

In closing, we had an excellent fourth quarter, and an excellent 2019. Our full year financial results highlight the strength of our business model. I look forward to what we have in store for 2020 as we expect to further expand and ramp our leadership portfolio of high performance products to drive revenue growth, gross margin expansion, market share gains and financial momentum.

AMD Conference Call CEO Prepared Remarks Slide Deck
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  • Holliday75 - Friday, January 31, 2020 - link

    I could have bought my last car outright. I gave myself two options. Buy car in cash or invest in AMD and take out a loan at 2.99% for 60 months.

    I took AMD. That was 7 years ago and that profit can buy my next 6 cars. :)
  • PeachNCream - Friday, January 31, 2020 - link

    Good on you for making a decent move. I would argue that you still purchsed something that required a loan and it would have been more cost effective to pay cash for a rolling POS. Maintenance is pretty much alway cheaper than a car payment and the recurring loan payment could have also gone into investments and netted you another c (new)ar or two worth of profit, but to each their own.
  • Spunjji - Monday, February 3, 2020 - link

    "Maintenance is pretty much alway cheaper than a car payment"

    Maybe, maybe not - and only when you can afford to gamble on time and/or wages lost due to the vehicle being out of action. I have done this myself and come up smelling of rose fertilizer: I was out of work, got a job, bought a banger with a clean bill of health so I could get to my new job, kept having to shell out on "just this once" repairs, and finally had it crap out on me before I'd finished saving for a replacement - meaning I had to borrow money to do that (or lose my job). My attempt to do the smart thing ended up costing me way more than if I'd just got a loan straight away.

    As I stated before, your advice is only useful to people who started out in a relatively good position. People aren't all that dumb, they just have different equations to solve than you. See this:
    https://wiki.lspace.org/mediawiki/Sam_Vimes_Theory...
  • eva02langley - Tuesday, January 28, 2020 - link

    Incredible to see AMD getting rid of their debt so aggressively, great news IMO.
  • TristanSDX - Tuesday, January 28, 2020 - link

    pretty much average results, considering it was holiday season / quarter
  • Targon - Tuesday, January 28, 2020 - link

    Look at the numbers again, Q4 2018 vs. Q4 2019. It was a very nice improvement in the numbers for AMD, and it is only the year to year that was flat due to certain segments that were down(console chips being at end of cycle). The numbers for Q1 2020 vs. Q1 2019 will be a big improvement due to Zen2 based chips continuing to sell very well, and the new GPUs will also help.
  • alufan - Wednesday, January 29, 2020 - link

    some people are simply clueless and have tunnel vision, this time in 2016 the very survival of AMD as a Business was being doubted it was sinking under huge debt and heavily discounting outdated and slow hardware, without the console sales am sure it would have gone under, its turnaround to the position it is in now is nothing short of legendary and with the continuing issues Intel is experiencing along with very strong new product pipelines for AMD I for one will be adding to my Portfolio, so far its been very good for me.
  • yeeeeman - Wednesday, January 29, 2020 - link

    Thought it was RIP Intel. Seems like some dudes bragging on Reddit are not the entire market. Hmmm
  • WaltC - Wednesday, January 29, 2020 - link

    It's going to take another 3-4 quarters before the impact on Intel of AMD's continuing growth actually hits the Intel P&Ls to a visible extent...;) The larger and more suffused with cash a company is the longer it takes to see the result of playing second fiddle on its balance sheets, as there are a host of bookkeeping tricks available. Most companies in Intel's position hope that before that time comes they can field competitive products and services once again. AMD has been on this roll for at least three years (much longer if we count development) now and AMD product innovation and improvement shows no sign of slacking off for the foreseeable future. Intel isn't just gunning for one AMD architecture, but for a series of steadily improving AMD architectures--and that's with CPUs. With GPUs I don't see Intel doing much, frankly. Interesting times ahead!
  • Lakados - Wednesday, January 29, 2020 - link

    It will take far longer than that, AMD does not have access to the manufacturing capabilities at this time to make a sizable dent in Intel's market share. There are very few plants capable of producint the 7 and 7+ nm nodes they are using for their new products and there is a lot of competition to get in there. Until there are more fab plants that they can access to it will be a really tough go to bite into that share in any significant way. Though they are finally putting up a good fight and need to take advantage of their lead while they can, Intel will be hitting back hard sooner than later so AMDneeds to get their house in order before that happens or they might find themselves right back where they were a decade ago.

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