AMD Conference Call CFO Prepared Remarks

Following Dr. Su, AMD's CFO, Devinder Kumar, also had prepared remarks:

2019 was an outstanding year for AMD. Our competitive product portfolio and market share gains drove the highest annual and highest quarterly revenue in AMD history. We achieved our highest annual gross margin percentage and annual free cash flow since 2011. We improved non-GAAP earnings per share by 39% year-on-year. In short, we are very pleased with our financial performance.

Fourth quarter revenue was $2.13 billion up 50% from a year ago, and up 18% from the prior quarter driven by strong sales of Ryzen and EPYC processors, and Radeon on GPUs, partially offset by softer semi-custom sales. Gross Margin was 45%, up 360 basis points from a year ago, driven primarily by sales of our leadership 7nm  products. Operating Expenses were $545 million, with increased investments in go-to-market activities and R&D, compared to $474 million a year ago. Operating Income was $405 million, up $296 million from a year ago, driven by revenue growth and higher gross margin. Operating margin was 19% as compared to 8% a year ago. That income was $383 million, up $296 million from a year ago. Diluted earnings per share were 32 cents per share, compared to eight cents per share a year ago.

Business Segment Results

The Computing and Graphics segment revenue was $1.66 billion, up 69% year over year, driven by Ryzen processor and Radeon gaming GPU sales growth. The Computing and Graphics segment operating income was $360 million or 22% of revenue, compared to $115 million a year ago, driven by higher revenue.

Enterprise Embedded and Semi-Custom (EESC) segment revenue was $465 million, up 7% from $433 million the prior year. The continued growth of EPYC processes was partially offset by softer semi-custom revenue. EPYC processor revenue grew by a strong double digit percentage sequentially driven by robust shipments of our second generation EPYC processors. EESC segment operating income was $45 million, or 10% of revenue, driven by EPYC process sales, compared to an operating loss of $6 million a year ago.

During the quarter, we reduced gross debt by $524 million, which resulted in a GAAP loss of $128 million. These debt reductions result in an annualized interest expense saving of approximately $16 million. Free cash flow was positive $400 million in the fourth quarter, and cash flow from operation was $442 million. Inventory was $1 billion down 6% from the prior quarter. Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA was $469 million compared to $152 million a year ago, driven by higher quarterly earnings.

Full Year Results

2019 revenue was $6.73 billion, up 4% YoY driven by strong growth in Computing and Graphics segment and sales of second generation EPYC processors, partially offset by a decline in semi-custom sales. Excluding semi-custom, revenue was up more than 20% year over year. Gross Margin of 43% was up 420 basis points from the prior year, driven by our current generation of Ryzen and EPYC products. Operating expenses were 31% of revenue, as we increase go-to-market activities and investments in R&D. 2019 operating income was up 33% from a year ago to $840 million, or 12% of revenue. Net income was $756 million, up 47% from the prior year.

Turning to the balance sheet, I'm extremely pleased with our progress on the strengthening balance sheet. Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities total $1.5 billion at year end, while gross debt was $563 million. This represents our highest net cash position since the third quarter of 2006. Full year free cash flow was $276 million. We reduced principal debt by almost $1 billion in 2019, and ended the year with less than $600 million of gross debt. On a trailing 12 month basis, adjusted EBITDA was $1.1 billion, resulting in gross leverage of 0.5x, down from 1.9x at the end of 2018.

Outlook for 1Q 2020

We expect revenue to be approximately $1.8 billion, plus or minus $50 million, an increase of approximately 42% year over year, and a decrease of approximately 15% sequentially. The year over year increase expected to be driven by strong growth in Ryzen, EPYC, and Radeon product sales. The sequential decrease is driven primarily by negligible semi-custom revenue, which continues to soften in advance of the ramp of next generation products, in addition to seasonality.

In addition, for Q1 2020, we expect non-GAAP gross margin to be approximately 46%. [We expect] Non-GAAP operating expenses to be approximately $580 million, non-GAAP interest, expense, taxes, and other to be approximately $18 million, and the first quarter diluted share count is expected to be approximately 1.22 billion shares.

Outlook for FY2020

For the full year 2020, we expect revenue growth of approximately 28 to 30%, driven by strength across all businesses. We expect non-GAAP gross margin, to be approximately 45%, non-GAAP operating expenses to be approximately 28% of revenue, and a non-GAAP tax rate of approximately 3% of pre-tax income.

In closing, we had an excellent fourth quarter, and an excellent 2019. Our full year financial results highlight the strength of our business model. I look forward to what we have in store for 2020 as we expect to further expand and ramp our leadership portfolio of high performance products to drive revenue growth, gross margin expansion, market share gains and financial momentum.

AMD Conference Call CEO Prepared Remarks Slide Deck
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  • BZD - Tuesday, January 28, 2020 - link

    That was Corona. Almost everything took a hit due to that. AMD is up 2.58% now.
  • Dragonstongue - Wednesday, January 29, 2020 - link

    yeh was hitting $52 prior to earnings report, then slid to $50 now $46 and change.

    ANALysts are morons. I suppose they want everyone to spend next to nothing and make hundreds of billions before they give them a fair valuation....

    FOOLS IMO
  • mrvco - Thursday, January 30, 2020 - link

    'Buy the rumor, sell the news'
  • HammerOn1024 - Friday, January 31, 2020 - link

    Just an adjustment. they're reacting more to the Q1 projections than anything else.
  • azfacea - Tuesday, January 28, 2020 - link

    contrary to public perception and the audience here, who think data center will save Hard drives, client computing is, has always been, and will continue to be the primary market for semi with data center somewhere invisible in its shadows.

    its easy to be impressed with MSRP of flagship xeon's but total transistor volume has always been several orders of mag less than client computing and thus insignificant in a competitive market (especially if the monopoly and price gouging is taken away).

    this will become clear when renoir numbers come out in Q2 2020. I also expect intel to lose a lot more than AMD will gain, especially with ARM on Mac and AWS
  • PeachNCream - Tuesday, January 28, 2020 - link

    Paying down debt is critical for AMD at this point. The company has to get into a good financial position where it isn't held back by loans and payments while it has a solid set of products that are attracting business. No one can really predict how the competition will respond and a safety margin of cash along with little debt will help AMD survive if business hits another long rough patch.
  • eva02langley - Tuesday, January 28, 2020 - link

    Pal, they are 500 Millions in debts, it is less than 1Q revenue at this point. It is like they have a car loan at this point. They never had that much cash since 2006 and nothing seems to indicate this will change anytime soon. They are doing incredibly well for a company that was going under.
  • PeachNCream - Wednesday, January 29, 2020 - link

    Yeah, I know right. I have a few coworkers that have car loans and I feel for them not being able to save up enough to buy outright, but not everyone has a clue how to manage their money so they take on debt like auto and home loans. AMD's case is different though. The company legitimately has had years of hard times in the recent past so the fact that it still carries debt is entirely excusable.
  • Spunjji - Friday, January 31, 2020 - link

    Weird drive-by on people who can't afford to buy stuff outright. Some people are silly with money, sure, but for many of us the choice between getting a car or home loan and not getting one is the choice between having a job and a home or not having them.
  • Korguz - Friday, January 31, 2020 - link

    some... also dont have the money to buythings like a car or a house outright.. for here.. a single family home starts at 1 million... to say people dont have a clue how to manage money.. is kind of close minded, with out knowing why or the persons situation...

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