After years of delays, Intel is finally shipping its 10 nm processors in high volume, and the company is preparing to fire up another fab to produce an even larger volume of 10nm products. Along with producing more of the company's existing Ice Lake-U/Y products, Intel is also planning for server CPUs and GPUs as well, with Ice Lake-SP CPU as well as the DG1 GPU already up and running in Intel’s labs. Meanwhile, even farther out, Intel is eyeing 2021 for the rollout of its EUV-based 7nm process.

During its earnings call on Thursday, Intel said that so far 18 premium systems based on its 10th Generation Core (Ice Lake) processors have been formally introduced and 12 more are expected in 2019. Right now, the company produces all of its 10 nm CPUs in Hillsboro, Oregon and Kiryat Gat, Israel. Starting next quarter, the company expects 10 nm chips to also ship from its Chandler, Arizona, fab, which will increase supply of Ice Lake processors and will get Intel prepared for a broader use of the manufacturing process that had caused company a lot of troubles.

In addition to client Ice Lake CPUs and Agilex FPGAs that are currently shipping, Intel’s 10 nm portfolio includes datacenter-grade Xeon (Ice Lake-SP) processors due in the second half of 2020, discrete DG1 GPU(s), an AI inference accelerator, and a 5G base station SoC. One thing to keep in mind here is that Intel will use different iterations of its 10 nm technology to make different chips.

Here is what Bob Swan, CEO of Intel, said:

“The Intel 10 nm product era has begun and our new 10th Gen Core Ice Lake processors are leading the way. In Q3, we also shipped our first 10 nm Agilex FPGAs. In 2020, we will continue to expand our 10 nm portfolio with exciting new products including an AI inference accelerator, 5G base station SoC, Xeon CPUs for server storage and network, and a discrete GPU. This quarter we have achieved power on exit for our first discrete GPU DG1, an important milestone.”

The big news here is that Intel produced the first samples of its DG1 GPU back in Q3, which means that the company now has actual silicon to work with. The chip will undergo at least one more iteration before it will be ready to ship commercially, but it is a good sign that Intel’s A0 DG1 GPU could be turned on. If Intel wants to launch these GPUs in mid-2020, then this is the right window to begin working on actual silicon.

One of the key operational challenges that Intel faces today in regards of its 10 nm fabrication process are yields, as they thwarted the technology from going HVM (high volume manufacturing) for years. According to Intel, yields are improving ahead of expectations for both for client and datacenter CPUs, though the company did not disclose any numbers.

7nm Technology on Track, 5nm in Development

Meanwhile, with their 10 nm evolution roadmap set till 2021, Intel’s manufacturing technology teams are now focused on 7 nm and 5 nm processes. Along with their 10nm status update, in their earnings call Intel has re-iterated that its EUV-based 7 nm technology was on-track for HVM in 2021, and that development of its 5 nm node was proceeding as planned.

According to Intel, having learnt from its 10 nm fabrication process and how its problems harmed its roadmap, the company has radically changed its approach to development of manufacturing technologies and actual products. The company no longer sets ultra-ambitious goals for scaling each node, but attempts to find a right balance between performance, power, cost, and timing. Furthermore, the manufacturer no longer designs products for a particular process, but intends to use the most optimal one it has at the moment. Overall, Intel says that it intends to get back to its usual process technology cadence and introduce brand-new technologies every 2 to 2.5 years, and recapture its process leadership in the future.

Intel’s first product to be made using its 7 nm manufacturing technology is its ‘big’ GPU for high performance computing that is due in Q4 2021, two years after the launch of the 10 nm Ice Lake CPU. Intel says that its 7 nm process is well on-track and the product will be released as planned. While Intel also plans to use 7+ and 7++ technologies in 2022 and 2023, the company is already working on its 5 nm process and is currently ‘engineering’ it, which means that the path-finding stage has been passed and fundamental things like materials and transistor structures were set.

Here is what Bob Swan, CEO of Intel, told analysts and investors on Thursday:

“We are on track to launch our first 7 nm based product, a datacenter-focused discrete GPU, in 2021, two years after the launch of 10 nm [products]. We are also well down the engineering path on 5 nm.”

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Source: Intel

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  • drothgery - Monday, October 28, 2019 - link

    Yeah; and you can definitely get Ice Lake laptops today (there aren't many of them, and they're in premium-priced products, but you can get them). Reply
  • GreenReaper - Monday, October 28, 2019 - link

    Hey, it made it to AnandTech! A good option, if you needed AVX-512 on a 2018 laptop for some reason. https://www.anandtech.com/show/13405/intel-10nm-ca... Reply
  • AshlayW - Monday, October 28, 2019 - link

    Suuuuure, Intel. I believe you. :D Reply
  • sorten - Monday, October 28, 2019 - link

    Gotta love the marketing slides, with no y-axis scale and not using a true zero baseline. Reply
  • Drumsticks - Monday, October 28, 2019 - link

    I imagine this is an unpopular opinion, but, as delayed and challenged as Intel has clearly been, do people really expect them to be stuck on 14nm forever? They have to, at some point, break the 10nm barrier, and now is a reasonable time for them to do it. You can buy Icelake laptops right now from both Microsoft and Dell.

    Be skeptical of 7nm, sure, but Intel has objectively put Icelake into retail, and the CEO would be in hot water if he lied about the systems being introduced on an investor call. 10nm is here, and just because it isn't shipping in 95W parts doesn't mean it isn't shipping in high volume (how many desktop parts sell compared to Ultrabooks, anyways?)
    Reply
  • FreckledTrout - Monday, October 28, 2019 - link

    Intel will be perfectly fine. People are very skeptical, rightfully so, but make no mistake Intel will get out of this ditch. Reply
  • JoeyJoJo123 - Monday, October 28, 2019 - link

    >Intel's already predicting 10, 10+, 10++.
    Given Intel's predictions and what ultimately turned into reality, I'm not going to be surprised if this turns into a 10++++++++ process 6 years or so later, with volume 7nm production nowhere in sight.
    Reply
  • name99 - Monday, October 28, 2019 - link

    "The company no longer sets ultra-ambitious goals for scaling each node"

    Which is why the claim is 2x density increase for 7nm?
    And why they felt a need to talk about 5nm?

    Seriously, they have learned NOTHING from the past.
    In particular they certainly haven't learned to STFU until you have EVERYTHING validated.

    Compare how little TSMC says until they are ready to roll. Even Samsung (way too chatty compared to TSMC) keeps their mouth shut a lot better, rather than promising how things will play out five years from now.
    Reply
  • boeush - Monday, October 28, 2019 - link

    Well, objectively 7 nm **is** a 50% higher area density than 10 nm (7*7=49; 10*10=100; 100/49~=2).

    That of course assumes that Intel's "nm" numbers actually have a real physical meaning, rather than amounting to nothing more than marketing fiction...

    As for the talk of 5 nm, I'm pretty sure the likes of TSMC have already projected out as far as "3 nm" (whatever that actually means in reality) - and if the company is already spending significant R&D resources on a specific schedule for 5 nm, then the CEO would be remiss not to apprise the shareholders accordingly...
    Reply
  • 5080 - Monday, October 28, 2019 - link

    TSMC just announced that they are building a whole new fab for its 3nm. The new fab should be operational in 2022. So much for keeping their mouth shut. Reply

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