At a satellite event to Intel's Developer Conference last week, AMD held an evening soiree with invited analysts and press to talk about their new upcoming Zen microarchitecture. This was intended to be a preview of tomorrow's Hot Chips presentation, and we've already covered the juicier parts of the presentation in terms of microarchitecture announcements as well as diving deep into the Server-based Naples implementation and what the motherboards told us from memory and IO support. 

You can read both here:

AMD Zen Microarchitecture: Dual Schedulers, Micro-op Cache and Memory Hierarchy Revealed
AMD Server CPUs and Motherboard Analysis

There was one other element to the presentation that requires further discussion and analysis, if only to clean up some of the misinformation already present online and to label what was shown with a long list of potential caveats which most people seem to have passed by almost entirely. As part of the show, AMD compared the performance of their Zen engineering sample to an Intel Broadwell-E processor. 

In this test, they told the audience that each system was running eight cores, sixteen threads, and will all cores set to 3 GHz (implying no turbo). Memory arrangements were not disclosed, nor storage: we were told to assume comparable setups. 

We were too busy trying to decipher what was on screen (and take note of the results) to actually photograph the benchmark as it happened (there are videos online), but the benchmark they showed was Blender, an open source rendering engine, with a custom multithreaded workload. The test was to render a mockup of a Zen based desktop CPU, with an effective workload of 50 seconds for these chips. I've seen numerous reports about this result saying the difference was 1 or 2 seconds, but with rarely a mention of the benchmark length, which is as important. The overall results were

  Blender Time to Render / sec
Intel Broadwell-E
Core i7-6900K
8C / 16T
3 GHz all-core
49.05
AMD ZEN
Engineering Sample
8C / 16T
3 GHz all-core
48.07
(-0.98 sec, 1.998%)

All things being equal (we'll get to that in a second), this would suggest that an 8-core AMD has a ~2% advantage over Broadwell-E at the same clock speeds. Despite this result, there are a lot of unverifiable parts to the claim which makes analysis of such a result difficult. I want to go through each of them one by one to ensure everyone understands what was presented. 

I'll preface this analysis with two things though: one is that AMD was very careful in what they said at the event, and only said as much as they needed to. Thus is why the string of caveats for this benchmark test is fairly long. But also, AMD has to set expectations here: if they choose an environment and test that represents the peak, or relies on something special, users will feel burned again after Bulldozer. AMD has to temper those expectations but still represent a methodology that is effective to them. By leaving so many cards on the table, this can both be a help or a hindrance.

But given the measured and calm, professional nature of the event, as opposed to the wild and wacky AMD events of the past, it was clear (either by design or chance) that the words used said only as much as they needed to. Along with the microarchitecture discussions, it was designed to provide a good stepping stone on to the Hot Chips presentation a few days later.

So, caveats. Or disclaimers not readily provided. Let's start at the top. 

1) The Results Are Not Externally Verifiable At This Time, As Expected

We were told the setups of the systems being used, but were unable to confirm the results manually. This is typically the case with a high level, early look at performance and other companies do this all the time.

This being said, it would look bad on reports if it to turns out or someone finds a chasm between pre-launch and launch data, so the aspect of reporting this data without understanding this caveat is fundamental. The basis of publishing scientific papers is repeatability and verification - while this wasn't a scientific presentation, it is important to keep it in the back of your mind when you hear any benchmark numbers (AnandTech included - our numbers are designed to be verifiable and we want to have a history of honesty with our readers, especially when it comes to custom software/workloads we cannot disclose). 

2) No Memory or TDP Numbers Were Provided

We were able to determine that the AMD-based systems were running 2x8 GB of DDR4-2400, although we did not get a look at Intel's memory arrangement. Similarly, due to the ES nature of the CPU, TDP numbers were also not shared however we did see all the AMD systems use either the AMD Wraith cooler (which is rated at 125W) or the new near silent cooler (95W). That tends to peg the system at a peak power consumption and some of AMD's current competitive parts actually use a cooler designed for the bracket above in TDP (e.g. A10-7860K at 65W uses the 95W cooler, A10-7890K at 95W uses the 125W cooler). 

3) Blender Is an Open Source Platform

One of the issues of using open source is that the code is editable by everyone and anyone. Any user can adjust the code to optimize for their system and run a test to get a result. That being the case, it can be difficult to accurately determine the code base for this test, and is relatively impossible to determine the code base of Blender that was compiled for this test.

Even in the base code, there could be CPU vendor specific optimizations in either the code or compiler that influences how the code manipulates the cache hierarchy with the workload and adjusts appropriately. It also doesn't help that Blender has elements in the code called 'AMD', which relates to a series of internal rendering features not related to the company. Going down the optimization for specific CPU microarchitectures leads on to another more philosophical issue...

4) Did It Actually Measure IPC? (The Philosophical Debate) 

In the purest sense, measuring the number of instructions per clock that a set of instructions can perform can determine the efficiency of a design. However, the majority of highly optimized code bases do not have general-purpose code - if it detects a particular microarchitecture it can manipulate threads and loops to take advantage of the code design. How should IPC be measured is the main question: using identical code bases makes it easier to understand but are often non-real-world compiler targets, or highly optimized code to show the best of what the processor can do (which means that IPC performance is limited to that benchmark)? With the results we saw, if the difference of about a second in just under fifty seconds translates into a 2% difference, is it accurate to say that this is a 2% IPC increase, or does it rely on optimized/non-optimized code? Optimizing code, or profiling compilers for specific code targets, is nothing new. In the holistic view, most analysts use SPEC benchmarks for this, as they are well-known code structures, even though most benchmarks are compiler targets - while SPEC is not particularly relevant for the real world workloads, it does give an indication about performance for unknown architectures/microarchitectures.

5) The Workload Is Custom 

One of the benefits of software like SPEC, or canned benchmarks like Cinebench, is that anyone (with a license) can pick up the workload and run with it. Those workloads are typically well known, and we can get performance numbers out that have known qualities in their interpretation. With a custom workload, that is not always the case. It comes down to experience - an unknown workload can have a lop-sided implementation of certain branches of code which is unknown when it comes to running the results. This is why rendering one scene in a film can take a vastly different time to another, yet the results for the 'benchmark' are significantly different depending on the architecture (one prefers lighting, another prefers tessellation etc.) Using known or standard workloads over long periods of time can offer insights into the results, whereas new workloads cannot, especially with so few results on offer.

6) It Is Only One Benchmark

There is a reason for AMD only showing this benchmark - it's either a best case scenario, or they are pitching their expectations exactly where they want people to think. By using a custom workload on open source software, the result is very specific and cannot be extrapolated in any meaningful way. This is why a typical benchmark suite offers 10-20 tests with different workloads, and even enterprise standard workloads like SPEC come with over a dozen tests in play, to cater for single thread or multi-thread or large cache or memory or pixel pushing bottleneck that may occur. Single benchmarks on their own are very limited in scope as a result.

7) There's Plenty about the Microarchitecture and Chip We Don't Know Yet, e.g. Uncore

One of the more difficult elements on a processor is managing cross-core communication, as well as cross-core-cache snooping. This problem is overtly exponential, with the plausibility of more direct connections per core as the numbers go up. Intel has historically used a torus (ring) interconnect between cores to do this, with their large multi-core chips using a dual ring bus with communication points between the two. We suspect AMD is also using a ring bus in a similar methodology, but this has not been discussed at this time. There's also the interconnect fabric between the cores and other parts of the chip, such as the Northbridge/Southbridge or the memory controllers. Depending on the test, the core-to-core communication and the interconnect can have different performance effects on the CPU. 

8) Clock Speeds Are Not Final, Efficiency Not Known

Performance of a CPU is typically limited by the power draw - there is no point getting a small amount of performance for a large increase in power such that efficiency has decreased. AMD has stated that power consumption and efficiency was a premier goal as this microarchitecture was developed.

At the demonstration, we were told that the frequency of the engineering samples was set at 3 GHz for all-core operation. We were told explicitly that these are not the final clock speeds, but it at the very least it puts the lower bound on the highest end processor. In reality, 3 GHz could be a walk in the park for the final retail units, depending on how much difference there is between the chips on display and what people will be able to buy. We are under the impression that the CPUs will have turbo modes involved, and those could be staggered based on the cores being used.

But this is why I said that 3 GHz is the lower bound of the high-end processor. We know from these results (assuming point 1 in this list) that the best processor from AMD will do at least 3 GHz. There's no indication of power, and thus there's no indication of efficiency either, which is also another important metric left in the ether.

9) We Will Have to Wait to Test

Everyone wants the next technology yesterday, so the 'gimme gimme gimme' feeling of new stuff is always there. AMD has already stated that general availability for Zen and Summit Ridge will be Q1, which puts the launch at four months away at a minimum. At this stage of the game, while AMD is trying to be competitive with Intel, they don't want to generate too much hype and give the game away in case it goes incredibly pear-shaped. There's the added element of the hardware and software being finalized or updated.

Since I've been reviewing, no CPU manufacturer has handed out review units four months before launch (in all honesty, we're lucky to get a launch date sample a week in advance these days). In fact we'd have to go back to Nehalem and Conroe to find something that was sampled early; however Conroe just passed its 10th birthday and in that case, Intel knew they were on to a clear winner ahead rather than just 'meeting expectations'. Also, early samples of a great product will mean users will wait for it to come out, which results in revenue loss (the Osborne effect) unless you have zero stock and/or an uncompetitive product that no-one is buying. In this decade, no x86 CPU manufacturer has offered samples this far out. I'd be more than happy for that to change and I would encourage companies to do so, but I understand the reasons why. 

Some Final Words

Much in the same way that taking an IQ test tells you how good you are at an IQ test, it is typically an indication that you are good/bad at other things as well (most well-engineered IQ tests go through a lot of spatial reasoning, for example). In this circumstance, a CPU performing a Blender test is only as good as a Blender test, but given what we know about the Zen microarchitecture, it is probably also good at other things. Just how good, in what metric and to what extent, is almost impossible to say.

AMD has given a glimpse of performance, and they’ve only said as much as they needed to in order to get the message across. However it has been up to the media to understand the reasons why and explain what those caveats are.

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  • retrospooty - Tuesday, August 23, 2016 - link

    "Not this time, they absolutely do have a serious chip on their hands."

    - But they say that every time. Phenom, Bulldozer, piledriver, steamroller, excavator and the others, every single bloody time. Also, where is the retail chips? Already delayed until 2017.
    I really hope its a great chip, we can all benefit from the competition, but I do not believe anything AMD says. It may well be a great chip, and when retail units are independently tested I will believe it and not a second before that happens. I also would highly recommend no-one buys anything until retail units are independently tested. Too many
  • retrospooty - Tuesday, August 23, 2016 - link

    /edit too many false claims to take it seriously.
  • andrewaggb - Tuesday, August 23, 2016 - link

    This is a new architecture so there's an actual chance it'll be way different/better. Over the last many years we've seen the same cpu's and gpu's with minor yearly tweaks from AMD (and intel to be honest) and minor tweaks aren't moving the needle much. This is a major release and it could be something....

    But AMD doesn't seem to be announcing anything new/groundbreaking. With the Athlon 64 they moved the memory controller on-die and went with a shorter pipeline. It was up against the P4 that was a very different design. At the time it was a big deal. Zen doesn't sound like it's doing anything intel isn't doing, so I don't expect it to be faster than intel. I also suspect it'll use more power and clock lower due to fabbing issues and possibly design choices as intel has spent years reducing the power consumption on their chips. I'd love to be wrong but we need to see independently tested retail chips. Equal IPC isn't nearly enough. (And that's assuming the blender results apply to other tests as well).

    I don't want Zen to fail, but I'm skeptical it'll be everything people hope.
  • rhysiam - Tuesday, August 23, 2016 - link

    While I agree with your scepticism, one genuine option for AMD is releasing a cost-effective 8 core (16 thread) CPU. For years now Intel have been dedicating die area from process shrinks to integrated graphics, rather than larger CPU cores, or more cores. If you want more than 4 cores, you need to spend up on the HEDT platforms. Broadwell-E even extended the pricing divide between their 4 and 6+ core CPUs.

    Even if AMD can't quite reach the IPC of a Kaby Lake quad core, if they can get within 10-25%, but in a genuine 8 core CPU at a competitive price, that would still be a compelling product IMHO. If they choose to dedicate the die area to additional CPU cores rather than large integrated graphics, perhaps they could price a genuine 8 core 16 thread CPU similarly to Intel's high end quad cores.

    For sure we need to wait and see though.
  • D. Lister - Wednesday, August 24, 2016 - link

    "With the Athlon 64 they moved the memory controller on-die and went with a shorter pipeline."

    For the sake of historical accuracy, AMD didn't come up with the on-die memory controller. The feature had already been around for about a decade when AMD implemented it.

    Secondly, AMD didn't just "go" with the shorter pipelines, their chips were based on the Pentium III (the one Intel had sadly dropped in favor of the Netburst P4), which had shorter pipelines, as designed by Intel.
  • melgross - Tuesday, August 23, 2016 - link

    Yeah, yeah, yeah. We hear this every generation of AMD chips since Intel's Yonah. Nothing good ever comes of it.
  • bill.rookard - Tuesday, August 23, 2016 - link

    Agreed. This launch is crucial. They had a minor hiccup with the 400 series launch, but recovered quickly, and well - although I have to say they -had- to know what was going on before they released it.

    All in all, as long as they regain a competitive footing against Intel, that's what is really important. Not -beating- them necessarily (although that would really be a kick in the nuts to Intel), but just getting close which is something they haven't been in quite a few years. They don't design bad chips, but they've really missed the boat with thermals/TDP.

    Another area where Zen will hopefully pick things up is in the far more lucrative server market. Opterons are almost nowhere to be found these days, and getting back into the server market with a Zen based Opteron again would be a great start.
  • KenLuskin - Tuesday, August 23, 2016 - link

    Dr. Lisa Su and the ZEN design team ( lead designer was legendary guru Jim Keller) are NOT the same folks who bungled the post 2006 designs.

    Remember, AMD's success from 2003 to 2006, were based on Jim Keller led innovative designs.

    So, if you are looking for some perspective, look to Jim Keller's successes, rather than AMD's NON Jim Keller designs.
  • fanofanand - Wednesday, August 24, 2016 - link

    At least somebody gets it. Keller has designed this chip from the ground up, it is NOT a piledriver rehash. It will at least be competitive with Intel's offerings, and every human being alive should be grateful for that. A lack of competition breeds $1700 chips.
  • C.C. - Wednesday, August 24, 2016 - link

    Actually, Keller didn't design Zen "from the ground up." AMD stated that he was given free reign to expand upon their existing base for that was already in the R&D stages for Zen...Now Zen+ designs will most likely feature more of Keller's vision..

    Either way, I am very excited for this release. I have a 5Ghz (48+ hour torture test stable) 3770K coupled with a high end Z77 board...I have plenty of IPC, but I would like to have double the cores, and I would really love to have the platform updates (more PCI-E lanes, M.2, etc)..I think AMD is going to have a winner on their hands if they market and price it right..

    All of the fanyboys expecting a $300 8c/16t cpu that is just as fast as a Broadwell-E SKU are going to be in for a rude awakening..I wouldn't expect AMD to price it any less then $600 vs the $1000 asking price from Intel. That would still be a great value, and allow AMD to have some much needed profit margins..

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