Tablet Expectations

Intel is getting architectural details about Silvermont launch ahead of actual SoCs based on the CPU. Baytrail tablets based on Silvermont cores are currently in development and are expected to show up by the end of the year. The Silvermont story at the end of this year should be a lot better than Clovertrail last year. Windows 8 will be in its second major revision (codename Windows Blue) and Intel will launch with both Android and Windows tablet availability. The inclusion of Android is very important to hitting lower price points, something Clovertrail really didn’t have last year. We should see Baytrail based tablets span the gamut of Nexus 7 to iPad pricing, with Haswell picking up where Silvermont ends.

Form factors should be no thicker than Clovertrail based designs, although it will be possible to go thinner with Baytrail/Silvermont should an OEM decide to. Displays should also be a lot better this time around. Intel is working with some OEMs on color calibration, an important step forward as I’m hearing Qualcomm will be doing the same with Snapdragon 800. We’ll also finally see resolutions higher than 1366x768, including potentially some competition for the iPad with Retina Display. Silvermont’s new system agent should do a good job of prioritizing GPU access to main memory in these ultra high resolution scenarios.

Performance

With tablets still months away from being production ready, there’s nothing for us to publicly test. Intel did share some of its own numbers off of its Baytrail reference tablet however, and they are impressive.

All of the Intel comparisons report the geometric mean performance advantage over a spectrum of benchmarks. The benchmarks used include SPECint2K, CoreMark, SunSpider, web page load tests in IE/Chrome/Firefox, Linpack, AnTuTu and Quadrant (ugh) among others. The point here isn’t to demonstrate absolute peak performance in one benchmark, but to instead give us a general idea of the sorts of gains we should expect to see from Silvermont/Baytrail tablets vs the competition. It’s an admirable effort and honestly the right way to do things (short of actually giving us a pre-production tablet to test that is). We’ll start with a comparison to Saltwell, the previous-generation 32nm Atom core. The Saltwell results are listed as STW while Silvermont is abbreviated SLM:

In terms of absolute performance, Silvermont’s peak single threaded performance is 2x that of Saltwell. This 2x gain includes IPC and clock frequency gains (only 50% is from IPC, the rest is due to IDI, system agent and frequency). Given that Saltwell is competitive with existing architectures from ARM and Qualcomm (except for the Cortex A15), a 2x increase in single threaded performance should put Silvermont in a leadership position when it arrives later this year.

The next set of bars is just as important. At the same power levels (Intel didn’t disclose specifically at what power), Silvermont delivers 2x the performance of Saltwell. Finally, at the same performance level, Silvermont uses 4.7x lower power. Given that Saltwell wasn’t terrible on power to begin with, this is very impressive. Without knowing the specific power and performance levels however, I wouldn’t draw too many conclusions based on this data though.

The multithreaded advantages are obviously even greater as Silvermont will be featured in quad-core configurations while Saltwell topped out at dual-core (4 threads) in tablets.

In the next two slides, Intel did some competitive analysis with Silvermont vs. the ARM based competition. The benchmarks are the same, but now we have specifics about power usage. In the first test Intel is comparing to three competitors all with quad-core designs. Intel claims to have estimated performance gains based on what is expected to be in the market by the end of this year. Intel’s performance modeling group is very good at what it does, but as with any estimate you always have to exercise some caution in buying the data until we have physical hardware in hand.

Intel isn’t naming the three competitors in this chart, but there are only a finite number of quad-core ARM players shipping in decent tablet designs these days. The chart on the left compares performance of a dual-core Silvermont to quad-core ARM based designs at a 1W core power level. This comparison is extremely important because it’s effectively demonstrating the type of advantage Intel hopes to have in smartphones next year.

The chart on the right fixes performance and shows the reduction in core power. Do keep in mind that there can be a big difference between core and device level power, although Intel does expect to be very competitive on battery life this round.

The final performance comparison slide increases max core power to 1.5W and compares quad-core Silvermont to the quad-core competition. You’ll note the arrival of a new competitor here. One of the bars is a dual-core SoC with its performance scaled to four cores. I’m less confident about that particular estimation simply because it assumes Apple won’t significantly update architectures in its next generation of iPads.

The performance deltas here are huge. If we assume that at least one of these bars represents a Cortex A15 based design, Silvermont looks very good.

That’s the end of the Intel data, but I have some thoughts to add. First of all, based on what I’ve seen and heard from third parties working on Baytrail designs - the performance claims of being 2x the speed of Clovertrail are valid. Compared to the two Cortex A15 designs I’ve tested (Exynos 5250, dual-core A15 @ 1.7GHz and Exynos 5410 quad-core A15 @ 1.6GHz), quad-core Silvermont also comes out way ahead. Intel’s claims of a 60% performance advantage, at minimum, compared to the quad-core competition seems spot on based on the numbers I’ve seen. Power is the only area that I can’t validate based on what I’ve seen already (no one has given me a Baytrail tablet to measure power on). Given what we know about Silvermont’s architecture and the gains offered by Intel’s 22nm process, I do expect this core to do better on power than what we’ve seen thus far from ARM’s Cortex A15.

There is something we aren’t taking into account though. As of now, the only Cortex A15 based SoCs that we’ve seen have been very leaky designs optimized for high frequency. Should an SoC vendor choose to optimize for power consumption instead, we could see a narrower gap between the power consumption of Cortex A15 and Silvermont. Obviously you give up performance when you do that, so it may not ultimately change anything - but the power story might be less of a blowout.

SoCs and Graphics, Penryn-Class Performance Final Words
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  • Jaybus - Monday, May 13, 2013 - link

    In the full Win 8 tablet market, I don't think any low power SoC is going to be adequate to compete against 13 W Ivy Bridge.
  • 1d107 - Tuesday, May 7, 2013 - link

    Did I miss memory bandwidth comparison with A6X? Will it support hi-res displays with acceptable performance? And by performance I mean not playing Angry birds on a so 1366x768 or even 1080p, but smooth scrolling and fast text rendering on a 3840x2400 screen. This would be cool for a descent Windows tablet with an external display attached.

    I'm afraid that by the time Silvermont is released and incorporated into actual products, Apple will have iPad 5 already shipping with A7X chip that will have twice the battery life, while maintaining better performance than A6X. They will need it for the iPad mini, but full-sized iPads will benefit also.
  • fteoath64 - Tuesday, May 7, 2013 - link

    One cannot know what the A7X can deliver but can take a couple of guesses. Here: 1) Optimise Swift further with pipeline shortening but still staying on A9 architecture, 2) Leap to A15 dual core with minimal optimization. On gpu side, it becomes more tricky as Pvr554 being used is Max out at 4 cores, they would have to either jack that up(6 cores ?) or jack up the clock rate.
    Remember that S800 and T4 products are yet to be announced so there is some time to watch the progression.
    Intel's key weakness here is STILL on gpu side. To put 3 cores of PVR 554 would eat a lot of power while giving it respectable performance. Going 1/4 HD4000 is just a dumb idea as the drivers are very bad and will remain so. Again too much power budget to slot in 8EU on SIlvermont quad.
    On thing is for sure: Silvermont is going to make a wicked NAS cpu!.
  • thunng8 - Wednesday, May 8, 2013 - link

    1) Swift is not A9 architecture.
    2) A7X will likely get the next generation PVR graphics chip (SGX Series 6 aka Rogue).
  • nunomoreira10 - Wednesday, May 8, 2013 - link

    considering the power budget, 1/4 hd4000 is quite good
    hd4000 consumes around 10w during games, 1/4 with clock cut down and power improvements we should expect 1-2w which is the max they could allow.
    drivers are good for the games normally played on tablets.
  • BSMonitor - Tuesday, May 7, 2013 - link

    Awesome review! This is the one we have been waiting for from Windows Phone / Windows Tablets!!

    Anand, is it the next Lumia that Intel has scored a design win?? x86 Windows 8 on a next gen Lumia??
  • warezme - Wednesday, May 8, 2013 - link

    Sounds like Intel is going hammer time on the mobile SOC arena. It's gonna get ugly but very interesting.
  • futbol4me - Wednesday, May 8, 2013 - link

    Can someone out there answer a few questions for me?

    (1) If Intel Atom powered tablet were running android, do APPS available on Google Play need to be recompiled for the platform?
    (2) Will a Windows8 Intel Atom powered tablet have enough horsepower to run android effectively as a Virtual Machine?

    Do you think there is enough
  • biertourist - Wednesday, May 8, 2013 - link

    To answer Question #2: Yes. Current Intel Atom tablets can run Android apps ala the "BlueStacks" app currently.
  • rootheday - Thursday, May 9, 2013 - link

    re #1, Android apps written in Dalvik/Java require no recompile because they are compiled against a virtual machine spec. Android apps written as "native" against ARM instruction set -> Intel has implemented a binary translation capability called Houdini that converts them to x86 on the fly and optimizes them in the background.

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