Closing Thoughts

Wrapping up our preview of the Broadwell architecture and Intel’s Core M processor, the bulk of Intel’s presentation and focus today is on the latter, so that is where we’ll start.

Core M is not a make-or-break product for Intel, but none the less it is a very important one. Mobile devices – be it tablets, slates, transformers, 2-in-1s etc – are continuing to increase in popularity, and as we’ve seen with ARM based tablets so far they form a market that has continued to grow and continued to erode the x86 laptop market that Intel has dominated for so long. Though laptops as a category are not going anywhere any time soon, their erosion means that Intel needs to get into mobile devices if they want to maintain their sales and their stature. To that end it’s not too late for Intel to break into this market and turn things around, but if they’re going to succeed then they need to make their move sooner or later, and this is where Core M fits in.

It’s telling then that while Intel is going after this market with a Core architecture, they are doing so under a different Core brand. Core M doesn’t just represent a new low powered Core CPU, but in Intel’s eyes is another product entirely. One that is so different that it does away with the Core i3/i5/i7 convention entirely and gets its own brand name and own product numbers. Core M is still Core, but it is nearly unrecognizable compared to the Core of even 4 years ago.

As far as the Core M product is concerned then, while Intel’s plans are grand they are not without merit. Backed by Intel’s new 14nm process and the Broadwell architecture, Core M looks like it should finally resolve the issues that dogged even Haswell-Y by bringing down power consumption even further while improving on Intel’s already strong performance, and getting the resulting processor in an SoC small enough to be usable in even the thinnest mobile devices. In fact from a technical perspective there’s little reason to doubt Core M; we’ll still have to wait to see just how good the resulting retail products are, but there shouldn’t be any technical reason for why it can’t be put into a mobile device comparable to today’s 10”+ tablets. Intel’s own Llama Mountain reference design can vouch for that much, showcasing the viability of Core M in a 12.5” tablet that’s just 7.2mm thick.


Intel's Llama Mountain, a Core M form factor reference design

More likely what will determine Core M’s fate and Intel’s ability to completely break into the mobile device market will be pricing. Intel’s profit margins are somewhat legendary in the computer industry, and a big part of that profitability has come from the high prices Intel has enjoyed from products such as their Core processors. Core M, like the other Cores before it, will still be an upscale product – a higher priced, higher performance alternative to Intel’s mass-market Atom processors. And while that makes plenty of sense on paper, in the real world Intel has to face the AllWinners and other ARM vendors of the world who are happy to sell their ARM SoCs at significantly lower margins, which can have a knock-on effect even if they can’t compete with Intel on overall performance. At this point it’s far too early to call this, especially when Intel isn’t even discussing Core M pricing at this time, but it’s a subject that Intel will have to consider carefully as “good enough” ARM devices will continue to be the biggest threat to Intel’s position in the CPU market.

Moving on, while today’s release from Intel only offers us a preview of what Intel will be delivering with their Broadwell architecture, what Intel has presented thus far looks to continue Intel’s tradition of relentless execution. As a tick Broadwell is a small but respectable improvement in Intel’s Core architecture, with the expected 5% IPC improvement in-line with previous ticks. For more traditional desktops and laptops it won’t radically change the world, but then it never was meant to. The biggest question for these parts will be whether Broadwell will improve on Haswell’s clockspeeds at all – a clockspeed boost made possible by Intel’s 14nm process – or if we’re going to hold steady similar to what we saw with the last tick, Ivy Bridge.

Meanwhile Broadwell’s GPU improvements are more significant, and in the race to further improve what’s essentially the baseline for PC GPU performance it is always welcome. Furthermore the fact that Intel is now at API feature parity with discrete GPUs is a big deal for Intel and it is a big deal for iGPUs as a whole. What we still want to see is more performance; a single slice seems just about right for Core M, but if we’re talking about larger laptop and desktop parts it would be very nice to see something akin to GT3 become baseline, especially with the die size savings Intel will be seeing from the 14nm process.

Finally, from here the rest of Intel’s 2014 should be rather busy. Next month is Intel’s Fall IDF 2014, at which point we expect we’ll be given a deeper look at Broadwell’s architecture. Past that the first Broadwell-Y based Core M processors will be on the shelves for the holidays, and with it our chance to see Broadwell and Intel’s 14nm process in action. However that will also be our only chance to see Broadwell in action this year; while Core M will ship in time for the holidays, the rest of the Broadwell lineup will not appear until 2015.

Putting It All Together: Small Core M
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  • psyq321 - Tuesday, August 12, 2014 - link

    I also fail to see how will Intel be able to keep their cadence with Skylake without either skipping the entire generation (obsoleting it in 6 months does not sound reasonable from the financial point of view) or delaying the Skylake introduction.

    Also the fact that Intel decided to enable all 18 cores in the Haswell EP is telling IMHO. Initially, this was to happen only with BDW-EP, so it might not be impossible that Intel might just skip Broadwell for some segments and go with Skylake.
  • isa - Tuesday, August 12, 2014 - link

    Those who know ain't talking, but I can observe the following;
    - Delaying Skylake for financial reasons related to Broadwell is braindead. Broadwell development costs are sunk costs and Intel is or should be trying to maximize overall profits, not just a particular program's profits. Intel should release Skylake as quickly as possible when its yields hit target values, regardless of Broadwell delays, with two caveats:
    - If the Broadwell yield difficulties also slowed down Skylake, then Skylake will likely be inherently delayed to some degree
    - If Intel screws up product planning such that they flood the market with Broadwell, then their customers might be very angry if they are stuck with that inventory upon a Skylake release.

    My bet at this point? Broadwell H mobile will be a very short-lived product (about 6 months).
  • Krysto - Tuesday, August 12, 2014 - link

    Definitely not Y or U, and wouldn't get M either. Whatever is above that.
  • mczak - Monday, August 11, 2014 - link

    For the gpu It is noteworthy that unlike nvidia and amd the subslice block (at least before gen8) doesn't really have an inherent minimal size which cannot be changed without significantly altering the architecture. E.g. Gen7 (which is just about the same as Gen7.5) had subslice sizes of 6 (IvyBridge GT1), 8 (IvyBridge GT2) and 4 even (BayTrail).
    It is also quite interesting that everybody (nvidia since gk2xx and Maxwell, amd since even before GCN, notably their Northern Islands VLIW4 designs, intel since Gen8) now has ended up with the exact same ALU:TEX ratio (one quad tmu per 64 ALU lanes), though of course the capabilities of these tmus vary a bit (e.g. nvidia can do fullspeed fp16 filtering, amd only half speed etc.)
  • tuxRoller - Monday, August 11, 2014 - link

    http://www.phoronix.com/scan.php?page=article&...

    In the fourth to last paragraph an intel driver dev says that broadwell graphics "dwarf any other silicon iteration during my tenure, and certainly can compete with the likes of the gen3->gen4 changes."
    I'm going to go with the guy who's actually developing the drivers on this.
  • AnnonymousCoward - Tuesday, August 12, 2014 - link

    Simple question: will all the new Intel desktop CPUs have integrated graphics? If the answer's yes, why would they waste the silicon area for those using discrete?
  • name99 - Tuesday, August 12, 2014 - link

    Because the people who obsess about discrete graphics are a RIDICULOUSLY small fraction of the purchasing public, a fraction which is utterly unwilling to accept this fact and the fact that CPU design is not targeted at the needs of high-end gamers.
  • wintermute000 - Tuesday, August 12, 2014 - link

    "Because the people who obsess about discrete graphics are a RIDICULOUSLY small fraction of the purchasing public"

    Maybe not obsess, but to characterise the PC gaming market as ridiculously small, is pretty far off the mark....
  • DanNeely - Tuesday, August 12, 2014 - link

    Compared to the total Intel CPU market and compared to the cost of creating an IGPless CPU die for the mainstream socket it's entirely on the mark. If you want an IGPless design your only choice is to wait a year for the Xeon derived LGA2011 model; and the fact that LGA1366 launched as an enthusiast design well before the Xeon's did, but that Intel hasn't done the same for any other models shows that it didn't sell well enough to justify rushing one for us.
  • C'DaleRider - Tuesday, August 12, 2014 - link

    Small fraction is right. Projected worldwide PC hardware sales for 2015 is ~ $385B (Source: eTForcasts). Projected PC gaming sales (both hardware and software) is ~$20B (Source: Statista), less than 10% of total PC hardware sales alone. A 10% market niche is very, very small in the overall scheme of the PC market.

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