Conclusion & First Impressions

Today’s Arm Client TechDay disclosures were generally quite a lot more extensive than in the last few years, especially given the number of new IP releases we’ve covered. Three new CPU microarchitectures, a new DSU/L3 cluster design, and two new SoC interconnect IPs is quite a bit more than we’re used to, and it goes to underscore just how much effort Arm is putting into updating all of the parts of its client IP.

Starting off with the CPUs, the new Cortex-X2 and Cortex-A710 cores are meant to be iterative designs compared to their predecessors, and that's certainly what they are from a performance and efficiency viewpoint. On a generational basis, Arm is promising a 10-16% improvement in IPC. However these figures are somewhat muddled by the fact we’re also comparing 4MB and 8MB L3 caches. Generally, it’s a reasonable expectation of what we’ll be seeing in 2022 devices, but it’s also hard to disambiguate and attribute the performance of the cores versus that of the new DSU-110 L3 cluster design.

Arm has also made some more lofty performance claims when it comes to actual device implementations in 2022, such as +30% peak-to-peak performance boosts on the parts of the X2 cores. Generally, given our expectations that both the next Snapdragon and the next Exynos flagships will come in a similar Samsung foundry process node with smaller improvements, I’m very doubtful we’ll be seeing such larger generational improvements in practice, unless somehow MediaTek surprises us with a flagship X2 SoC made out at TSMC.

While the X2 and A710 aren’t all that groundbreaking, we have to note that the move towards Armv9 brings a lot of new architectural features that would otherwise eat into the expected yearly performance or efficiency improvements. The move to the new ISA baseline has been a long time coming and I’m curious to see what it will enable in terms of media applications (SVE) or AI (new ML instructions).

This is also the fourth and last iteration of Arm’s Austin core family, so hopefully next year’s new Sophia family will see larger generational leaps. Arm admits that we’re nearing diminishing returns and it’s certainly not at the same break-neck pace it was moving a few years ago, but there’s still a lot which can be done.

Today we also saw the unveiling of a brand-new little core in the form of the Cortex-A510. A new clean-sheet design from the Cambridge team, it’s certainly using an innovative approach given its “merged core” design, sharing the L2 cache hierarchy and the FP/SIMD back-end amongst two otherwise full featured cores. The performance and IPC gains are claimed to be quite large at +35-50%, however it seems that this generation hasn’t improved the efficiency curve all that much. It’s still a much better design and will have effective benefits for power efficiency in real-world workloads due to how workloads interact between the little and larger cores, but leaves us with a feeling that it doesn’t provide a knock-out convincing jump we had expected after 4 years. The silver lining here is that Arm is promising further generational improvements in performance and power with subsequent iterations, so we won’t be left with the current state of affairs the same way we saw the Cortex-A55 stagnate.

One of the more key points I saw Arm put their focus on was the new possibilities in larger form-factor devices beyond mobile. The new DSU-110 now supports up to 8 Cortex-X2 cores, a theoretical setup that would pretty much blow away the current Cortex-A76 based Arm laptop SoCs such as the Snapdragon 8cx family. The new cluster design allows for large L3 caches of up to 16MB, and while I don’t know if we’ll see the new interconnect IPs used by the larger vendors, it surely also makes a big argument for larger performance designs. The catch is that if Qualcomm were to adopt and make such a design, it would seemingly be short-lived given their recent Nuvia acquisition and intent on using custom cores. Otherwise, because of a lack of Mali Windows drivers, this really only leaves space for a theoretical Samsung laptop SoC with AMD RDNA GPU, but such a SoC could nonetheless be very successful.

Overall, this year’s CPU and system IP announcements from Arm are extremely solid new IP offerings, really laying down a new foundation, both architecturally with Armv9, and microarchitecturally thanks to elements such as the new DSU and the new little core CPUs. We’re looking forward to the new 2022 SoCs and products that will be powered by the new Arm IP.

A new CI-700 Coherent Interconnect & NI-700 NoC For SoCs
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  • Ppietra - Tuesday, May 25, 2021 - link

    I believe that he was talking about the overall SPEC2006 score and not just SPECint. Still he would be wrong about the X1 score, which would be 50 and not 40 (probably a typo).
    Anyway a 16% improvement for X2 over X1 would mean a score of 58 which, like he said, would still be behind the A13 performance core and well behind the 72 score for the A14.
    X1 is already being manufactured at 5nm, so it makes no sense to factor in a transition from 7nm.
  • Wilco1 - Tuesday, May 25, 2021 - link

    Cortex-X1 can reach 3.2GHz in Samsung's 5nm process but the power is too high: https://images.anandtech.com/doci/16463/2100-volta...

    TSMC 5nm is faster and lower power, which allows for higher frequencies. At a conservative 3.3GHz X2 would have a combined score of ~66.7 (only 7% slower than A14).
  • Ppietra - Tuesday, May 25, 2021 - link

    That is not how it works!
    First of all you have no idea what would be the advantage from using TSMC instead of Samsung, so you are just throwing numbers with no substance. Secondly, X1 energy consumption is already very high (it is less efficient than the A14 Firestorm core), so no, there doesn’t seem to be a lot of room to improve X2 clock speed to 3.3GHz. Thirdly even with your assumption you would still have X2 performing worse than a 1 year old core
  • Wilco1 - Tuesday, May 25, 2021 - link

    We absolutely do know. TSMC 5nm is ~15% faster than 7nm at the same power (or 30% lower power at the same frequency). We know that SD865+ achieves 3.1GHz on 7nm and that the frequency gain from A13 on 7nm to A14 on 5nm was around 13%. So 3.3GHz should be feasible on 5nm without increasing power.

    The point is that TSMC 5nm will give a significant perf/power boost (that A14 already benefits from). And that means the gap has narrowed to only one generation rather than 2.
  • melgross - Tuesday, May 25, 2021 - link

    It’s not that simple. The cores would require a bit of a redesign for the different process, and each design would fare differently. Some might get a good boost, and others may not.
  • michael2k - Tuesday, May 25, 2021 - link

    You're comparing the X2 to the A14? I mean, if we're lucky we will see the X2 in 2022 alongside the A16. The A15 will be released this year, in 2021. We already have some X1 baselines:
    https://www.anandtech.com/show/16463/snapdragon-88...

    So in terms of generation:
    2021 X1 not competitive with the 2019 A13 now
    2021 X1 competitive with the 2019 A13 on TSMC 5nm
    2021 X1 not competitive with the 2021 A15 (est 10% boost to hit 70 SPECint)
    2022 X2 competitive with the 2020 A14 on TSMC 5nm
    2022 X2 not competitive with the 2021 A15

    That still sounds like a 2 generation gap to me. The real problem isn't fundamentally the core, but the OEM choosing not to use a 2x2 design (2 X1 and 2 A77) or (2 X2 and 2 A710), so even if the cores get faster each generation, overall performance is hobbled by using 3 medium cores instead of a pair of higher performance X1 or X2 cores.
  • Fulljack - Wednesday, May 26, 2021 - link

    it's cat and mouse, really. Apple release their phones in late Q3, while Samsung S-series are released in late Q1. there's 5 to 6 month difference.
  • Ppietra - Wednesday, May 26, 2021 - link

    Nothing of what you said gives you any data to infer about a transition from Samsung to TSMC.
    SD865+ does not use a X1 core, as such you have no commonality to make that kind jump in analysis, secondly the X1 core already consumes significantly more than the SD865+ core, so clearly there is no much room to increase clock speed from that perspective. If you want to increase clock speed you need to keep power consumption under control.
  • Wilco1 - Wednesday, May 26, 2021 - link

    These are different generations of the same microarchitecture from the same design team with the same frequency capability (as reported by AnandTech). So yes there is obvious commonality.

    We also know this microarchitecture is capable of higher frequencies, for example AnandTech reports Cortex-X1 can reach 3.2GHz. The main problem is power however, which is what limited Cortex-X1 on Samsung's process. TSMC 5nm reduces power by 30% which enables higher clock speeds.
  • Ppietra - Wednesday, May 26, 2021 - link

    actually they aren’t different generations from the same microarchitecture. The next generation for the A77 is the A78. The X1 goes for a bigger core design, and as such consumes more.
    Being capable of higher frequencies doesn't mean that Qualcomm (, etc) finds it viable to use those higher frequencies in a smartphone SoC...
    NODE power reduction is stated for same performance and microarchitecture (which X1 is not) and only as an internal TSMC comparison... The data you give tells you nothing about X1 (already at 5nm) transitioning to TSMC. You are making an analysis based on wrong assumptions.

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