AMD Conference Call CFO Prepared Remarks

Following Dr. Su, AMD's CFO, Devinder Kumar, also had prepared remarks:

2019 was an outstanding year for AMD. Our competitive product portfolio and market share gains drove the highest annual and highest quarterly revenue in AMD history. We achieved our highest annual gross margin percentage and annual free cash flow since 2011. We improved non-GAAP earnings per share by 39% year-on-year. In short, we are very pleased with our financial performance.

Fourth quarter revenue was $2.13 billion up 50% from a year ago, and up 18% from the prior quarter driven by strong sales of Ryzen and EPYC processors, and Radeon on GPUs, partially offset by softer semi-custom sales. Gross Margin was 45%, up 360 basis points from a year ago, driven primarily by sales of our leadership 7nm  products. Operating Expenses were $545 million, with increased investments in go-to-market activities and R&D, compared to $474 million a year ago. Operating Income was $405 million, up $296 million from a year ago, driven by revenue growth and higher gross margin. Operating margin was 19% as compared to 8% a year ago. That income was $383 million, up $296 million from a year ago. Diluted earnings per share were 32 cents per share, compared to eight cents per share a year ago.

Business Segment Results

The Computing and Graphics segment revenue was $1.66 billion, up 69% year over year, driven by Ryzen processor and Radeon gaming GPU sales growth. The Computing and Graphics segment operating income was $360 million or 22% of revenue, compared to $115 million a year ago, driven by higher revenue.

Enterprise Embedded and Semi-Custom (EESC) segment revenue was $465 million, up 7% from $433 million the prior year. The continued growth of EPYC processes was partially offset by softer semi-custom revenue. EPYC processor revenue grew by a strong double digit percentage sequentially driven by robust shipments of our second generation EPYC processors. EESC segment operating income was $45 million, or 10% of revenue, driven by EPYC process sales, compared to an operating loss of $6 million a year ago.

During the quarter, we reduced gross debt by $524 million, which resulted in a GAAP loss of $128 million. These debt reductions result in an annualized interest expense saving of approximately $16 million. Free cash flow was positive $400 million in the fourth quarter, and cash flow from operation was $442 million. Inventory was $1 billion down 6% from the prior quarter. Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA was $469 million compared to $152 million a year ago, driven by higher quarterly earnings.

Full Year Results

2019 revenue was $6.73 billion, up 4% YoY driven by strong growth in Computing and Graphics segment and sales of second generation EPYC processors, partially offset by a decline in semi-custom sales. Excluding semi-custom, revenue was up more than 20% year over year. Gross Margin of 43% was up 420 basis points from the prior year, driven by our current generation of Ryzen and EPYC products. Operating expenses were 31% of revenue, as we increase go-to-market activities and investments in R&D. 2019 operating income was up 33% from a year ago to $840 million, or 12% of revenue. Net income was $756 million, up 47% from the prior year.

Turning to the balance sheet, I'm extremely pleased with our progress on the strengthening balance sheet. Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities total $1.5 billion at year end, while gross debt was $563 million. This represents our highest net cash position since the third quarter of 2006. Full year free cash flow was $276 million. We reduced principal debt by almost $1 billion in 2019, and ended the year with less than $600 million of gross debt. On a trailing 12 month basis, adjusted EBITDA was $1.1 billion, resulting in gross leverage of 0.5x, down from 1.9x at the end of 2018.

Outlook for 1Q 2020

We expect revenue to be approximately $1.8 billion, plus or minus $50 million, an increase of approximately 42% year over year, and a decrease of approximately 15% sequentially. The year over year increase expected to be driven by strong growth in Ryzen, EPYC, and Radeon product sales. The sequential decrease is driven primarily by negligible semi-custom revenue, which continues to soften in advance of the ramp of next generation products, in addition to seasonality.

In addition, for Q1 2020, we expect non-GAAP gross margin to be approximately 46%. [We expect] Non-GAAP operating expenses to be approximately $580 million, non-GAAP interest, expense, taxes, and other to be approximately $18 million, and the first quarter diluted share count is expected to be approximately 1.22 billion shares.

Outlook for FY2020

For the full year 2020, we expect revenue growth of approximately 28 to 30%, driven by strength across all businesses. We expect non-GAAP gross margin, to be approximately 45%, non-GAAP operating expenses to be approximately 28% of revenue, and a non-GAAP tax rate of approximately 3% of pre-tax income.

In closing, we had an excellent fourth quarter, and an excellent 2019. Our full year financial results highlight the strength of our business model. I look forward to what we have in store for 2020 as we expect to further expand and ramp our leadership portfolio of high performance products to drive revenue growth, gross margin expansion, market share gains and financial momentum.

AMD Conference Call CEO Prepared Remarks Slide Deck
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  • tetse88319 - Thursday, January 30, 2020 - link

    On Windows, moving to AMD should be a sure thing. IIS, SQL Server is not going to require much validation for web hosts. For linux, I could understand why validation might be done. For example that random # generator that effected Destiny 2.
  • phoenix_rizzen - Tuesday, January 28, 2020 - link

    There's also a shortage of EPYC hardware available, at least for those of us trying to buy smaller systems (8-16 core) in tiny quantities (1-5 per year).

    Gigabyte server boards are back-ordered due to "a lack of chipset availability". And they've discontinued the previous generation boards already.

    Supermicro rackmount servers are lacking in features, and backordered. And they won't mix-n-match chassis with non-SM boards anymore.

    We bought two 7001-series servers last year. We're still waiting for a 7002-series server to arrive (maybe end of Feb).

    (Could be just availability in Canada, but all out local and national suppliers are saying the same thing: backordered.)
  • tetse88319 - Thursday, January 30, 2020 - link

    Hm... how are they backordered unless they're selling out or amd is supply constrained?
  • Mindworker1970 - Tuesday, January 28, 2020 - link

    The problem is that most server people are very conservative... they won't touch a product until the 3rd generation. The fact that Epyc is doing so well right now is a massive vote of confidence by the cloud service providers. The next Epyc chip is where you should expect some incredible uptake because of the TOE advantage that AMD has.
  • mdriftmeyer - Tuesday, January 28, 2020 - link

    Zen 3 EPYC follow up should be where AMD can build out a 4 x 4 matrix of target markets and win in every box over Intel. Intel's in a world of hurt for the next 18 months.
  • BikeDude - Wednesday, January 29, 2020 - link

    Somewhat ironic considering the avalanche of security issues that have struck Intel hard as of late.
  • FreckledTrout - Wednesday, January 29, 2020 - link

    That has been my expectation and more so AMD should win in every single metric when Zen 3 based EPYC launches.
  • evernessince - Wednesday, January 29, 2020 - link

    Maybe but when you factor in the Intel security issues, AMD IMO has more credibility right now.
  • mdriftmeyer - Tuesday, January 28, 2020 - link

    Enterprises don't do the bulk of their purchasing this past quarter.
  • eva02langley - Tuesday, January 28, 2020 - link

    The same happened last quarter before the stock pass from 35 to 50$. AMD is the most shorted stock in wall street, however it didn't played in the favor of shorters.

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