AMD Conference Call CFO Prepared Remarks

Following Dr. Su, AMD's CFO, Devinder Kumar, also had prepared remarks:

2019 was an outstanding year for AMD. Our competitive product portfolio and market share gains drove the highest annual and highest quarterly revenue in AMD history. We achieved our highest annual gross margin percentage and annual free cash flow since 2011. We improved non-GAAP earnings per share by 39% year-on-year. In short, we are very pleased with our financial performance.

Fourth quarter revenue was $2.13 billion up 50% from a year ago, and up 18% from the prior quarter driven by strong sales of Ryzen and EPYC processors, and Radeon on GPUs, partially offset by softer semi-custom sales. Gross Margin was 45%, up 360 basis points from a year ago, driven primarily by sales of our leadership 7nm  products. Operating Expenses were $545 million, with increased investments in go-to-market activities and R&D, compared to $474 million a year ago. Operating Income was $405 million, up $296 million from a year ago, driven by revenue growth and higher gross margin. Operating margin was 19% as compared to 8% a year ago. That income was $383 million, up $296 million from a year ago. Diluted earnings per share were 32 cents per share, compared to eight cents per share a year ago.

Business Segment Results

The Computing and Graphics segment revenue was $1.66 billion, up 69% year over year, driven by Ryzen processor and Radeon gaming GPU sales growth. The Computing and Graphics segment operating income was $360 million or 22% of revenue, compared to $115 million a year ago, driven by higher revenue.

Enterprise Embedded and Semi-Custom (EESC) segment revenue was $465 million, up 7% from $433 million the prior year. The continued growth of EPYC processes was partially offset by softer semi-custom revenue. EPYC processor revenue grew by a strong double digit percentage sequentially driven by robust shipments of our second generation EPYC processors. EESC segment operating income was $45 million, or 10% of revenue, driven by EPYC process sales, compared to an operating loss of $6 million a year ago.

During the quarter, we reduced gross debt by $524 million, which resulted in a GAAP loss of $128 million. These debt reductions result in an annualized interest expense saving of approximately $16 million. Free cash flow was positive $400 million in the fourth quarter, and cash flow from operation was $442 million. Inventory was $1 billion down 6% from the prior quarter. Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA was $469 million compared to $152 million a year ago, driven by higher quarterly earnings.

Full Year Results

2019 revenue was $6.73 billion, up 4% YoY driven by strong growth in Computing and Graphics segment and sales of second generation EPYC processors, partially offset by a decline in semi-custom sales. Excluding semi-custom, revenue was up more than 20% year over year. Gross Margin of 43% was up 420 basis points from the prior year, driven by our current generation of Ryzen and EPYC products. Operating expenses were 31% of revenue, as we increase go-to-market activities and investments in R&D. 2019 operating income was up 33% from a year ago to $840 million, or 12% of revenue. Net income was $756 million, up 47% from the prior year.

Turning to the balance sheet, I'm extremely pleased with our progress on the strengthening balance sheet. Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities total $1.5 billion at year end, while gross debt was $563 million. This represents our highest net cash position since the third quarter of 2006. Full year free cash flow was $276 million. We reduced principal debt by almost $1 billion in 2019, and ended the year with less than $600 million of gross debt. On a trailing 12 month basis, adjusted EBITDA was $1.1 billion, resulting in gross leverage of 0.5x, down from 1.9x at the end of 2018.

Outlook for 1Q 2020

We expect revenue to be approximately $1.8 billion, plus or minus $50 million, an increase of approximately 42% year over year, and a decrease of approximately 15% sequentially. The year over year increase expected to be driven by strong growth in Ryzen, EPYC, and Radeon product sales. The sequential decrease is driven primarily by negligible semi-custom revenue, which continues to soften in advance of the ramp of next generation products, in addition to seasonality.

In addition, for Q1 2020, we expect non-GAAP gross margin to be approximately 46%. [We expect] Non-GAAP operating expenses to be approximately $580 million, non-GAAP interest, expense, taxes, and other to be approximately $18 million, and the first quarter diluted share count is expected to be approximately 1.22 billion shares.

Outlook for FY2020

For the full year 2020, we expect revenue growth of approximately 28 to 30%, driven by strength across all businesses. We expect non-GAAP gross margin, to be approximately 45%, non-GAAP operating expenses to be approximately 28% of revenue, and a non-GAAP tax rate of approximately 3% of pre-tax income.

In closing, we had an excellent fourth quarter, and an excellent 2019. Our full year financial results highlight the strength of our business model. I look forward to what we have in store for 2020 as we expect to further expand and ramp our leadership portfolio of high performance products to drive revenue growth, gross margin expansion, market share gains and financial momentum.

AMD Conference Call CEO Prepared Remarks Slide Deck
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  • eva02langley - Tuesday, January 28, 2020 - link

    This is dumb. At this moment, an hybrid of AMD and Intel platforms should be used to prevent having to rely on a sole source supplier. Companies refusing to change are going to pay the price in the future.
  • Targon - Tuesday, January 28, 2020 - link

    Many people in charge in corporate environments are clueless, and don't believe in even testing something new, even if there is a huge potential to reduce expenses by 20-30 percent.
  • FreckledTrout - Wednesday, January 29, 2020 - link

    I'm not sure calling it dumb it correct but at a larger scale you are exactly right. For a smaller enterprise it won't matter that much because they don't have the buying power in the first place. For large data centers like Amazon it will be a huge boon to pit vendors against each other.
  • evernessince - Wednesday, January 29, 2020 - link

    "our IT director is confident that he can get the same machines we have today with an updated CPU, and get it installed with a working OS image with very little effort."

    Sounds like a bad IT director. His #1 goal should be getting the best machines for the company as possible with the lowest TCO and cost as possible that fit the performance target. If his number one goal is to be as lazy as possible, he should get the boot.
  • mkaibear - Wednesday, January 29, 2020 - link

    Ah, I can see you've never worked in enterprise IT.

    The goal for enterprise IT is "what can we get that is the least stress for our customers, providing the most stability, and iterating on performance". Validating a completely new architecture for the enterprise takes ages. If you're doing your job properly at least.

    The IT director who "just buys the new hotness" ends up out of a job really quickly when the unexpected problems bite.
  • evernessince - Thursday, January 30, 2020 - link

    Never said anything about buying the new hotness. You just assumed that and preceded to make a personal attack based on that assumption.

    Have you read your own comment by the way? Has Intel's security patches not provided significant stress for enterprise customers? Stability? Intel certainly hasn't provided that. I explicitly remember some games having to rent more cloud servers due to Intel's security patches reducing performance and the downtime those cause due to the reduced performance causing customers to lag out.

    Iterating on performance? If you bought Intel you actually went reverse after the security patches.

    According to your own comment, companies should very well be evaluating AMD as a option. I don't expect it to happen overnight but we should be hearing more along those lines.

    FYI you completely forgot about TCO, which is very important Mr. Internet expert.
  • haghands - Thursday, January 30, 2020 - link

    You mocking someone and calling them "mr internet expert" when you really sound like you're just talking out of your ass is hilarious. Like, come on dont play, you ain't never even seen a server homie we all know it just chill. You over here talking about you "heard some games had to rent more cloud servers." That's incredible, hilarious, kinda adorable even. Stay in your lane, Get on back to Apex or whatever lol.
  • evernessince - Thursday, January 30, 2020 - link

    Do you have something useful to say or are you just here to throw insults?
  • tetse88319 - Thursday, January 30, 2020 - link

    Can someone give me the run down on validation? Intel and AMD are both x86/64. Heck amd created the instruction set for 64 bit. Why would validation take months? if it works on Intel, it should run on AMD and vice-versa.
  • evernessince - Friday, January 31, 2020 - link

    Validation has four main goals

    1. Find hardware or configuration issues before being deployed

    2. Help ensure the product being deployed is dependable

    3. Test integration with current systems

    4. Ensure compatibility and performance with the software or platform in use

    How long validation takes depends entirely on the company and software in use. In the case of something like a cloud provider, it's the sheer complexity of the platform and the number of servers that take time. You can certainly get under 2 months for smaller projects though, although you do need time to ensure dependability beforehand.

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